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Did sunspot cause the Great Depression?
Harrison, Sharon G.; Weder, Mark - 2002
We apply a dynamic general equilibrium model to the period of the Great Depression. In particular, we examine a modification of the real business cycle model in which the possibility of indeterminacy of equilibria arises. In other words, agents' self-fulfilling expectations can serve as a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009621410
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The Relative Volatility of Commodity Prices: A Reappraisal
Arezki, Rabah; Lederman, Daniel; Zhao, Hongyan - CESifo - 2011
This paper studies the volatility of commodity prices on the basis of a large dataset of monthly prices observed in … evidence does not actually attempt to measure the volatility of prices of individual goods or commodities. The literature tends … to focus on trends in the evolution and volatility of ratios of price indexes composed of multiple commodities and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009391720
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Can General Purpose Technology Theory Explain Economic Growth? Electrical Power as a Case Study
Ristuccia, Cristiano Andrea; Solomou, Solomos - CESifo - 2014
economies? The paper develops a new comparative data set on the usage of electricity in the manufacturing sectors of the USA …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010748306
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Private Debt Overhang and the Government Spending Multiplier: Evidence for the United States
Bernardini, Marco; Peersman, Gert - CESifo - 2015
Using state-dependent local projection methods and historical U.S. data, we find that government spending multipliers are considerably larger in periods of private debt overhang. In particular, we find significant crowding-out of personal consumption and investment in low-debt states, resulting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011212082
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The great demand depression
Weder, Mark - 2001
This paper entertains the notion that disturbances on the demand side play a central role in our understanding of the Great Depression. In fact, from Euler equation residuals we are able to identify a series of unusually large negative demand shocks that appeared to have hit the U. S. economy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009614288
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Market timing with aggregate and idiosyncratic stock volatilities
Guo, Hui (contributor); Higbee, Jason (contributor) - 2005 - rev.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003344908
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Is value premium a proxy for time-varying investment opportunities : some time series evidence
Guo, Hui (contributor) - 2005
to be robust using both the realized volatility model and the GARCH model, confirm that the value premium cannot be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002995301
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Size and value anomalies under regime shifts
Guidolin, Massimo (contributor);  … - 2005
"This paper finds strong evidence of time-variations in the joint distribution of returns on a stock market portfolio and portfolios tracking size--and value effects. Mean returns, volatilities and correlations between these equity portfolios are found to be driven by underlying regimes that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002917584
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A Bayesian approach to counterfactual analysis of structural change
Kim, Chang-jin (contributor); Morley, James C. (contributor) - 2004 - [Elektronische Ressource], rev.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002496905
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Does stock market volatility forecast returns : the international evidence
Guo, Hui (contributor) - 2003 - [Elektronische Ressource], rev
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001979873