Showing 1 - 10 of 16
We show that dependence on foreign energy can increase economic instability by raising the likelihood of equilibrium indeterminacy, hence making fluctuations driven by self-fulfilling expectations easier to occur. This is demonstrated in a standard neoclassical growth model. Calibration...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005771609
Goodwin's Predator-Prey model is structurally unstable. In its pure form, the model has an equilibrium that is neither stable nor unstable. Ploeg showed that relaxing the hypothesis of fixed proportion technology would stabilize the equilibrium. On the other hand, Goodwin showed that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005771638
We show that dependence of production on foreign inputs (or non-producible natural resources) can significantly increase the likelihood of indeterminacy. Payment of imported foreign factors of production may act as a semi-fixed cost, amplifying production externalities and returns to scale,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005827123
This paper estimates the wealth effects on consumption in the euro area as a whole. I show that: (i) financial wealth …; (iii) consumption growth exhibits strong persistence and responds sluggishly to shocks; and (iv) the immediate response of … consumption to wealth is substantially different from the long-run wealth effects. By disaggregating financial wealth into its …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005052116
on consumption. Using modern panel data econometric techniques and quarterly data for the period 1990/1-2008/2, we show … countries; (iii) housing wealth effects have increased for Asian countries in recent years; and (iv) consumption reacts stronger …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005572453
consumption, financial wealth, housing wealth and labor income (summarized by the variable cday) should help to predict U … transitory, while changes in housing wealth are better understood as permanent; (iii) the relationship among consumption, (dis …)aggregate wealth and labor income was relatively stable over time; (iv) consumption doesn´t react asymmetrically to positive and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005572466
the dynamics of real economic activity, namely, of private consumption. In this work, the role of stock market as a … determinant of private consumption is analyzed, namely, by the consideration of wealth effects. It is also analyzed the potential …-run dynamics is analyzed with the estimation of a single equation, suggesting that consumption contemporaneously answers to changes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005771599
This paper argues that nonlinear adjustment may provide a better explanation of °uctuations in the consumption … markets. In fact, estimation of the system suggests that short-term deviations in the consumption-wealth ratio will forecast … either asset returns or consumption growth: the ¯rst when changes in wealth are transitory; the second when changes in wealth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005771632
trend relationship among consumption, aggregate wealth, and labour income, cay, and three major sources of risk: future … changes in the housing consumption share, cr, future labour income growth, lr, and future consumption growth, lrc. Using a VAR …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005771636
of the long-run aggregate consumption function. The dating of the regimes appears to bear relation to movements in asset … consumption, income and wealth in explaining the estimated long-run coefficients. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005827126