Global and European trade balances have seen strong divergences combined with strong movements in the exchange rate. Trade balances and real effective exchange rates are related. Using different measures of the real effective exchange rate, we show that this long-run link hinges on the relative...

This paper investigates the dynamic implications of Krugman’s (1999) model of financial crises with balance-sheet effects, which has a considerable impact on the literature as well as the teaching of international financial crisis. By explicitly taking account of wealth accumulation and...

This paper uses a Bayesian approach to estimate a standard international real business cycle model augmented with preferences with zero wealth-effect, variable capacity utilization and investment adjustment costs. First, I find that the bulk of fluctuations in country-specific outputs,...

Since the 1980s, most emerging economies have experienced economic crises associated with large, prolonged current account deficits and real exchange rate misalignment. Eventually these governments ended up devaluing national currencies. Empirical evidence from developing countries suggests that...

The Chinese government has come under increasing criticism from both the U.S. government and some critics in U.S. industry for manipulating its currency. This article offers some insight on whether the yuan is correctly valued. Evidence suggests that, regardless of whether a fixed exchange rate...

We examine the impact of the global financial crisis on the degree of international income and consumption risk-sharing among industrial economies using returns on cross-border portfolio holdings (e.g., debt, equity, fdi). We split the returns from the net foreign holdings as receipts (inflows)...

Volatile capital flows complicate emerging market economies’ macroeconomic management. This paper demonstrates that financial development helps reduce the impact of non-FDI inflows on real exchange rate appreciation. Using dynamic panel techniques and data from 78 developing economies for the...

This paper tries to explain empirical causation between the exports and the real exchange rate. The paper develops a simple model, the model is based on the relationship of exports to: real interest rates differential, foreign demand for domestic goods and real exchange rate. The paper then...

This paper extends MURPHY's (1991) analysis of alternative lending arrangements. We incorporate the capital accumulation into the two sector model and departure from traditional model of this kind by making two assumptions. One of them is to postulate rigid wage and unemployment, and the another...

Modelling of the physical characteristics of goods and geography can explain both the puzzling persistence and volatility in the deviations of the international relative prices and the real exchange rate (the PPP persistence puzzle). In a two-country, three-good general equilibrium model,...