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a burst of layoffs. Unemployment rises because jobs are hard to find, not because an unusual number of people are thrown … into unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467502
illustrate that the dynamic behavior of unemployment seems to change over the business cycle, with the unemployment rate rising …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467524
-cycle-frequency fluctuations in unemployment and job vacancies in response to shocks of a plausible magnitude. In the U.S., the vacancy-unemployment … vacancy-unemployment ratio and labor productivity have nearly the same variance. I establish this claim both using analytical … small movement along a downward sloping Beveridge curve (unemployment-vacancy locus). A shock to the job destruction rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469164
We study how an economy's production structure determines the response of aggregate output and employment to sectoral financial shocks. In our framework, economic production is organized in an input-output network in which firms face financial constraints on their working capital. We show how...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456463
We propose a new business cycle theory. Firms need to randomize over firing or keeping workers who have performed poorly in the past, in order to give them an ex-ante incentive to exert effort. Firms have an incentive to coordinate the outcome of their randomizations, as coordination allows them...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456927
unemployment on inflation, for given expected inflation, decreased until the early 1990s, but has remained roughly stable since …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456944
unemployment, and negative growth forecasting errors in a panel of 30 countries from 1960 to 2012. Consistent with the "credit …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457088
unemployment insurance (UI). This policy reform improved job information and sharpened bureaucratic incentives to find jobs for the … unemployment outflows. This is consistent with a model where information helps both groups, but bureaucrats were given incentives …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457504
We argue that firms' balance sheets were instrumental in the propagation of shocks during the Great Recession. Using establishment-level data, we show that firms that tightened their debt capacity in the run-up to the Great Recession ("highleverage firms") exhibit a significantly larger decline...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457590
unemployment. The novel feature is that the scope for sunspot-driven volatility depends on the level of household wealth. When … wealth is high, consumer demand is largely insensitive to unemployment expectations and the economy is robust to confidence … crises. When wealth is low, a stronger precautionary motive makes demand more sensitive to unemployment expectations, and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457673