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inflation expectations. We develop this measure using assumptions common in economic analysis of open economies. Using quarterly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471456
unemployment-inflation tradeoff since 1995 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470298
This note demonstrates that Bennett McCallum's recent critique of low frequency estimates of macro-economic relationships is of little empirical significance. It also demonstrates that readily available and frequently used techniques can be used to diagnose the problem McCallum raises. Finally,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477640
, according to the Johansen procedure, cointegration fails to hold the farther out the forecasts extend. At the one year ahead …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472881
In a model where a variable Y[sub t] is proportional to the present value, with constant discount rate, of expected future values of a variable y[sub t] the "spread" S[sub t]= Y[sub t] - [theta sub t] will be stationary for some [theta] whether or not y[sub t]must be differenced to induce...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477190
We investigate the behavior of the long-run U.S./U.K. real exchange rate from 1885 to 1995. Our long-run real exchange rate series is derived from an unobserved components model which divides the real exchange rate into permanent and transitory components. The transitory component is modeled as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473057
is likely to have large effects on the future path of house prices and inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210069
illustrate the use of this approximation, we use it to characterize the change in the nature of the Phillips curve and the money-inflation … change in money growth-inflation relation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471533
This paper examines the shift in the relation between the inflation rate and the rate of growth of real output which … possible lines of explanation: a) the new classical view of the output-inflation tradeoff, initially specified by Lucas;b) the … effect of supply-side shocks, such as energy prices; c) the effect of inflation variability on the natural rate of real …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478022
This paper examines the effects of expected inflation on the responsiveness of output to nominal disturbances in the … framework of a localized markets model. The mechanism described in the theoretical part of the paper is that expected inflation … sensitivity of real output to these socks. The empirical implication of this proposition -- namely ,that expected inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478618