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The Global Financial Cycle
Miranda-Agrippino, Silvia; Rey, Hélène - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2021
effects of the monetary policies of the US Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank and of the People's Bank of China on the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012660005
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Bretton Woods II Still Defines the International Monetary System
Dooley, Michael P. - 2009
In this paper we argue that net capital inflows to the United States did not cause the financial crisis that now engulfs the world economy. A crisis caused by such flows has been widely predicted but that crisis has not occurred. Indeed, the international monetary system still operates in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463916
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International Monetary Relations : Taking Finance Seriously
Obstfeld, Maurice - 2017
In our book, Global Capital Markets: Integration, Crisis, and Growth, we traced out the evolution of the international monetary system using the framework of the "international monetary trilemma": countries can enjoy at most two from the set {exchange-rate stability, open capital markets, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455241
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Dilemma not Trilemma : The Global Financial Cycle and Monetary Policy Independence
Rey, Hélène - 2015
For the past few decades, international macroeconomics has postulated the "trilemma": with free capital mobility, independent monetary policies are feasible if and only if exchange rates are floating. The global financial cycle transforms the trilemma into a "dilemma" or an "irreconcilable duo":...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457505
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Uncertainty Shocks, Capital Flows, and International Risk Spillovers
Akinci, Ozge; Kalemli-Ozcan, Sebnem; Queralto, Albert - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2022
Foreign investors' changing appetite for risk-taking have been shown to be a key determinant of the global financial cycle. Such fluctuations in risk sentiment also correlate with the dynamics of UIP premia, capital flows, and exchange rates. To understand how these risk sentiment changes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210054
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Excess Savings and Twin Deficits : The Transmission of Fiscal Stimulus in Open Economies
Aggarwal, Rishabh; Auclert, Adrien; Rognlie, Matthew; … - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2022
We study the effects of debt-financed fiscal transfers in a general equilibrium, heterogeneous-agent model of the world economy. In the long run, increases in government debt anywhere raise the world interest rate and increase private wealth everywhere. In the short run, a country with a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013334403
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The Impact of Domestic Travel Bans on COVID-19 is Nonlinear in Their Duration
Burlig, Fiona; Sudarshan, Anant; Schlauch, Garrison - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2021
using a natural experiment in India as well as data from China, Indonesia, the Philippines, South Africa, and Kenya …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012510577
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The Shrinking Advantage of Market Potential
Brülhart, Marius - 2019
How does a country's economic geography evolve along the development path? This paper documents recent employment growth in 18,961 regions in eight of the world's main economies. Overall, market potential is losing importance, and local density is gaining importance, as correlates of local...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480470
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Optimal Currency Shares in International Reserves : The Impact of the Euro and the Prospects for the Dollar
Papaioannou, Elias - 2006
market countries (Brazil, Russia, India and China), adding constraints that reflect a central bank's desire to hold a sizable …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466332
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What is Different About Urbanization in Rich and Poor Countries? Cities in Brazil, China, India and the United States
Chauvin, Juan Pablo - 2016
American metropolitan areas with comparable geographic units in Brazil, China and India. Both Gibrat's Law and Zipf's Law seem … to hold as well in Brazil as in the U.S., but China and India look quite different. In Brazil and China, the implications … correlation between density and earnings is stronger in both China and India than in the U.S., strongest in China. In India the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456671