Risk management and the thorough understanding of the relations betweenfinancial markets and the standard theory of macroeconomics have always been among the topics most addressed by researchers, both financial mathematicians and economists. This work aims at explaining investors behavior from a...

Graphical data representation is an important tool for model selection in bankruptcy analysis since the problem is highly non-linear and its numericalrepresentation is much less transparent. In classical rating models a convenientrepresentation of ratings in a closed form is possible reducing...

In semiparametric models it is a common approach to under-smooth the nonparametric functions inorder that estimators of the finite dimensional parameters can achieve root-n consistency. The requirementof under-smoothing may result as we show from inefficient estimation methods or technical...

Population forecasts are crucial for many social, political and economic decisions. Officialpopulation projections rely in general on deterministic models which use different scenariosfor future vital rates to indicate uncertainty. However, this technique shows substantialweak points such as...

With the recent availability of high-frequency nancial data the longrange dependence of volatility regained researchers' interest and has leadto the consideration of long memory models for realized volatility. Thelong range diagnosis of volatility, however, is usually stated for long...

Normal distribution of the residuals is the traditional assumption in the classicalmultivariate time series models. Nevertheless it is not very often consistent with the real data.Copulae allows for an extension of the classical time series models to nonelliptically distributedresiduals. In this...

As a function of strike and time to maturity the implied volatilityestimation is a challenging task in nancial econometrics. DynamicSemiparametric Factor Models (DSFM) are a model class that allowsfor the estimation of the implied volatility surface (IVS) in a dynamiccontext, employing...

Modeling the portfolio credit risk is one of the crucial issues of the last yearsin the financial problems. We propose the valuation model of Collateralized DebtObligations based on a one- and two-parameter copula and default intensities estimatedfrom market data. The presented method is used to...

Supported by several recent investigations the empirical pricing kernel paradox might beconsidered as a stylized fact. In Chabi-Yo et al. (2008) simulation studies have been presentedwhich suggest that this paradox might be caused by regime switching of stock prices in financialmarkets....

One of the major cost factors in car manufacturing is the painting of bodyand other parts such as wing or bonnet. Surprisingly, the painting may beeven more expensive than the body itself. From this point of view it is clearthat car manufacturers need to observe the painting process carefully to...