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A note on stochastic volatility, GARCH models, and hyperbolic distributions

Jaschke, Stefan R. - 1997

We establish a relation between stochastic volatility models and the class of generalized hyperbolic distributions. These distributions have been found to fit exceptionally well to the empirical distribution of stock returns. We review the background of hyperbolic distributions and prove...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009577459

Flexible stochastic volatility structures for high frequency financial data

Feldmann, David; Härdle, Wolfgang; Hafner, Christian M.; … - 1998

Stochastic Volatility (SV) models are widely used in financial applications. To decide whether standard parametric restrictions are justified for a given dataset, a statistical test is required. In this paper, we develop such a test based on the linear state space representation. We provide a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578026

Volatility estimates of the short term interest rate with an application to German data

Dankenbring, Henning - 1998

This paper proposes a procedure for testing alternative specifications of the short term interest rate's dynamics which takes into account that according to some restrictions the interest rate is nonstationary, i.e. the traditional test statistic has a non-standard distribution. Moreover, we do...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578570

Option pricing under linear autoregressive dynamics, heteroskedasticity, and conditional leptokurtosis

Hafner, Christian M.; Herwartz, Helmut - 1999

Daily returns of financial assets are frequently found to exhibit positive autocorrelation at lag 1. When specifying a linear AR(l) conditional mean, one may ask how this predictability affects option prices. We investigate the dependence of option prices on autoregressive dynamics under...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009580460

Adaptive estimation for a time inhomogeneous stochastic-volatility model

Härdle, Wolfgang; Spokojnyj, Vladimir G.; Teyssière, … - 2000

problem of online estimation of current values of w = w(T) and a = a(T) from the observations SI , ... ,ST. We propose an … adaptive method of estimation which does not use any information about time homogeneity of the obscured process. We apply this …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009582392

Testing stochastic cycles in macroeconomic time series

Gil-Alaña, Luis A. - 2000

A particular version of the tests of Robinson (1994) for testing stochastic cycles in macroeconomic time series is proposed in this article. The tests have a standard limit distribution and are easy to implement in raw time series. A Monte Carlo experiment is conducted, studying the size and the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009611541

Forecasting the real output using fractionally integrated techniques

Gil-Alaña, Luis A. - 2001

The annual structure of the real GDP in the UK, France, Germany and Italy is examined in this article by means of fractionally integrated techniques. Using a version of a testing procedure due to Robinson (1994), we show that the series can be specified in terms of I(d) statistical models with d...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009613608

Job Reallocation and Productivity Growth under Alternative Economic Systems and Policies: Evidence from the Soviet Transition

Brown, J. David; Earle, John S. - William Davidson Institute, University of Michigan - 2002

Soviet Republics of Russia and Ukraine. Exploiting annual manufacturing census data from 1985 to 2000, we find that Soviet … Russia displayed job flow behavior quite different from market economies, with very low rates of job reallocation that bore … reforming Russia than in “gradualist” Ukraine, as did the estimated effects of privatization and competitive pressures from …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005207903

BANKING REFORM IN RUSSIA: A WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY?

Chowdhury, Abdur - William Davidson Institute, University of Michigan - 2003

Only a successful implementation of an overall reform program will enable Russian banks to provide financial intermediation and assist in the country's development from a nascent market economy to a mature financial system. The chances for reform are better now than at any time during the last...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005207904

Returns to Skills and the Speed of Reforms: Evidence from Central and Eastern Europe, China, and Russia

Fleisher, Belton M.; Peter, Klara Sabirianova; Wang, Xiaojun - William Davidson Institute, University of Michigan - 2004

a number of Central and Eastern European countries, Russia, and China. We use metadata from 33 studies of 10 transition …-time variation in rates of return as a function of the timing, speed, and volatility of reform processes as well as estimation … schooling. We report the systematic effects of sample characteristics, estimation methods, and model specifications on estimated …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005784595