Showing 1 - 10 of 58
The goal of the paper is to decompose gross exports/imports to/from Germany for seven selected economies in Central and Eastern Europe (CEE): the Czech Republic, Estonia, Hungary, Lithuania, Latvia, Poland, and Slovakia for 2000 and 2014, to identify the role of German in absorbing, reflecting,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012033048
In this paper we assess the impact of oil price shocks on oil-producer and oil-consumer economies. VAR models for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005648583
Russia's economy and fiscal policy is analysed using VAR methodology and cointegration techniques.The research period covered …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012148432
This paper evaluates the usefulness of business sentiment indicators for forecasting developments in the Chinese real economy.We use data on diffusion indices collected by the People's Bank of China for forecasting industrial production, retail sales and exports.Our bivariate vector...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012148533
Ways of extracting financial condition indices (FCI) are explored and alternative FCIs external to the Chinese economy are constructed to model their predictive content. The exploration aims at highlighting the rich and varied dynamic features of financial variables underlying FCIs and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012148680
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009771897
Using a large, original database of 385 politically connected firms under the Mubarak regime in Egypt, we document for the first time the negative impact of cronyism on economic growth. In the early 2000s, a policy shift in Egypt led to the expansion of crony activities into new, previously...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011544875
We derive a framework for asymptotically valid inference in stable vector autoregressive (VAR) models with conditional … heteroskedasticity of unknown form. We prove a joint central limit theorem for the VAR slope parameter and innovation covariance … parameter estimators and address bootstrap inference as well. Our results are important for correct inference on VAR statistics …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011490564
The potential of design thinking as a strategic discipline is well known on the international level. A considerable body of literature about design history demonstrates the role design has long played in the development process. Victor Papanek (1984) has shed the light on the emergence of design...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012920199
The study is concerned with the missing aspects that should have been put in consideration while designing and planning public or major projects in Egypt. A number of projects failed to fulfill essential aspects, as achieving the project's concept itself, or neglecting the needs of users with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012920206