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How free trade can help convert the 'Arab Spring' into permanent peace and democracy

Thorvaldur Gylfason; Martínez, Inmaculada; Wijkman, … - 2012

Since Jean Monnet conceived the Coal and Steel Community, free trade has successfully prevented serious conflicts in Europe between democratically governed States with market economies. After six countries established the European Community, this principle has been extended successfully to its...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009571054

Economic integration agreements, border effects, and distance elasticities in the gravity equation

Bergstrand, Jeffrey H.; Larch, Mario; Yotov, Yoto V. - 2013

Using a novel common econometric specification, we examine the measurement of three important effects in international trade that historically have been addressed largely separately: the (partial) effects on trade of economic integration agreements, national borders, and bilateral distance....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010212649

Which conflicts can the European neighbourhood policy help resolve?

Thorvaldur Gylfason; Wijkman, Per Magnus - 2012

Under what conditions can the European Neighbourhood Policy achieve one of its main objectives: to resolve conflicts in the European Union's neighbourhood? In the spirit of Montesquieu and Monnet, the basic hypothesis of the EU is that closer economic integration encourages governments to take...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009571288

Roman Transport Network Connectivity and Economic Integration

Flückiger, Matthias; Hornung, Erik; Larch, Mario; … - 2019 - This version: July 2019

We show that the creation of the first integrated pan-European transport network during Roman times influences economic integration over two millennia. Drawing on spatially highly disaggregated data on excavated Roman ceramics, we document that interregional trade was strongly influenced by...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012033121

On the heterogeneous trade and welfare effects of GATT/WTO membership

Felbermayr, Gabriel; Larch, Mario; Yalçin, Erdal; … - 2020

equilibrium effects of GATT/WTO membership on trade and welfare. Using an extensive database covering manufacturing trade for 186 … countries over the period 1980-2016, we find that the average impact of GATT/WTO membership on trade among member counties is … general equilibrium effects of GATT/WTO on welfare, which are sizable and heterogeneous across members, and relatively small …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012287974

Monetary and fiscal management, finance, and growth

Thorvaldur Gylfason - 2004

This lecture addresses three related aspects of monetary and fiscal management in Europe and elsewhere. First, I discuss the implications of economic integration for monetary and fiscal policy, especially the narrow focus on low inflation as the main objective of monetary policy. I argue that...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011404264

Gravity-model estimation with time-interval data : revisiting the impact of free trade agreements

Egger, Peter; Larch, Mario; Yotov, Yoto - 2020

We challenge the common practice of estimating gravity equations with time-interval data in order to capture dynamic-adjustment effects to trade-policy changes. Instead, we point to a series of advantages of using consecutive-year data recognizing dynamic-adjustment effects. Our analysis reveals...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012287795

Quantifying the impact of economic sanctions on international trade in the energy and mining sectors

Larch, Mario; Shikher, Serge; Syropoulos, Constantinos; … - 2021

Capitalizing on the latest developments in the gravity literature, we utilize two new datasets on sanctions and trade to study the impact of economic sanctions on international trade in the mining sector, which includes oil and natural gas. We demonstrate that the gravity equation is well suited...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012428959

Subnational income growth and international border effects

Adam, Hanna L.; Larch, Mario; Stadelmann, David - 2021

This paper analyses the effect of international borders and of trade agreements at international borders on subnational (i.e. regional) growth. We construct an extensive panel dataset covering 1,350 regions in 86 countries worldwide between 1950 and 2017. Our results show that international...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012533891

Spain, split and talk : quantifying regional independence

Adam, Hanna L.; Larch, Mario; Paniagua, Jordi - 2023

We quantify the economic impact of a potential secession of Catalonia from Spain. Using a novel dataset of trade flows between 17 Spanish sub-national regions and 142 countries, we estimate effects of different levels of borders on trade flows and uncover heterogeneity in country-to-country,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014422586