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~accessRights:"free"
~isPartOf:"Applied economics"
~isPartOf:"Computational economics"
~isPartOf:"Discussion paper / Tinbergen Institute"
~isPartOf:"International journal of forecasting"
~isPartOf:"Journal of risk and financial management : JRFM"
~person:"Dijk, Dick van"
~person:"Grassi, Stefano"
~person:"Papadimitriou, Theophilos"
~subject:"Nationaleinkommen"
~subject:"Prognose"
~subject:"Prognoseverfahren"
~subject:"VAR-Modell"
~subject:"Welt"
~subject:"World"
~subject:"Zeitreihenanalyse"
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Moments, shocks and spillovers in Markov switching VAR models
Dijk, Dick van
;
Kole, Erik
-
2021
To investigate how economies, financial markets or institutions can deal with stress, we nowadays often analyze the effects of shocks conditional on a recession or a bear market. MSVAR models are ideally suited for such analyses because they combine gradual movement with sudden switches. In this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012621564
Saved in:
2
Forecasting
day-ahead electricity prices : utilizing hourly prices
Raviv, Eran
;
Bouwman, Kees E.
;
Dijk, Dick van
-
2013
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009765836
Saved in:
3
Forecasting
interest rates with shifting
Dijk, Dick van
;
Koopman, Siem Jan
;
Wel, Michel van der
; …
-
2012
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009723022
Saved in:
4
An alternative Bayesian approach to structural breaks in time series models
Hauwe, Sjoerd van den
;
Paap, Richard
;
Dijk, Dick van
-
2011
We propose a new approach to deal with structural breaks in time series models. The key contribution is an alternative dynamic stochastic specification for the model parameters which describes potential breaks. After a break new parameter values are generated from a so-called baseline prior...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011383033
Saved in:
5
Is Bitcoin a relevant predictor of standard & poor's 500?
Muglia, Camilla
;
Santabarbara, Luca
;
Grassi, Stefano
- In:
Journal of risk and financial management : JRFM
12
(
2019
)
2/93
,
pp. 1-10
The paper investigates whether Bitcoin is a good predictor of the Standard & Poor's 500 Index. To answer this question we compare alternative models using a point and density forecast relying on Dynamic Model Averaging (DMA) and Dynamic Model Selection (DMS). According to our results, Bitcoin...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012022045
Saved in:
6
Bayesian econometrics
Bernardi, Mauro
;
Grassi, Stefano
;
Ravazzolo, Francesco
- In:
Journal of risk and financial management : JRFM
13
(
2020
)
11/257
,
pp. 1-2
,
forecasting
, assessment of policy effectiveness in macro, finance, marketing and monetary economics. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012389851
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