Showing 1 - 10 of 196
This paper provides a general framework for integration of high-frequency intraday data into the measurement forecasting of daily and lower frequency volatility and return distributions. Most procedures for modeling and forecasting financial asset return volatilities, correlations, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012787458
The stochastic process for earnings is the key element of incomplete markets models in modern quantitative macroeconomics. We show that a simple modification of the canonical process used in the literature leads to a dramatic improvement in the measurement of earnings dynamics in administrative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012977281
States, Canada, Germany, and several other OECD countries during and after the Great Recession of 2008-09. Unemployment rates … did not change substantially in Germany, increased and remained at relatively high levels in the United States, and … increased moderately in Canada. More recent data also show that, unlike Germany and Canada, the U.S. unemployment rate remains …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013043619
We present an econometric method for estimating the parameters of a diffusion model from discretely sampled data. The estimator is transparent, adaptive, and inherits the asymptotic properties of the generally unattainable maximum likelihood estimator. We use this method to estimate a new...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013235636
We investigate how labor and investment demand at the firm level (gross as well as net and replacement investment separately) differs in French, German and U.S. manufacturing, and has changed since the 1974-75 crisis. We use three consistent panel data samples of large firms for1970-79, and rely...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013235901
We study the post-war evidence for Japan to see if the same specification for both the economy and the monetary policy rule is useful for understanding Japan's economy and monetary policy. A recurrent theme in the literature on Japanese monetary policy is that there are significant differences...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013245712
quality, follow-on innovation. Winning a first patent boosts a startup's subsequent growth and innovation by facilitating …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012960171
or stifle innovation. Using three distinct sources of variation to identify rising trade exposure, we provide a causal …-level and technology class-level patent production. Accompanying this fall in innovation, global employment, sales …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012978100
We estimate the trend in the transitory variance of male earnings in the U.S. using the Michigan Panel Study of Income Dynamics from 1970 to 2004. Using both an error components model as well as simpler but only approximate methods, we find that the transitory variance started to increase in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013129122
In this paper we derive a model of aggregate investment that builds from the lumpy microeconomic behavior of firms facing stochastic fixed adjustment costs. Instead of the standard (S,s) bands, firms' optimal adjustment policies are probabilistic, with a probability of adjusting (adjustment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013125317