Showing 1 - 10 of 59
We construct a small-open-economy, New Keynesian dynamic stochastic generalequilibrium model with real-financial linkages to analyze the effects of financial shocks and macroprudential policies on the Canadian economy. Our model has four key features. First, it allows for non-trivial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010238951
The author proposes a new test for financial contagion based on a non-parametric measure of the cross-market correlation. The test does not depend on the assumption that the data are drawn from a given probability distribution; therefore, it allows for maximal flexibility in fitting into the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003852845
The financial crisis of 2008, which started with an initially well-defined epicenter focused on mortgage backed securities (MBS), has been cascading into a global economic recession, whose increasing severity and uncertain duration has led and is continuing to lead to massive losses and damage...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003970395
We develop the concept of “dragon-kings” corresponding to meaningful outliers, which are found to coexist with power laws in the distributions of event sizes under a broad range of conditions in a large variety of systems. These dragon-kings reveal the existence of mechanisms of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003971094
Chapter Summary: We consider the recent financial crisis as an overlapping sequence of interdependent financial bubbles followed by their collapse. Governments and regulatory agencies have made it a prime goal to moderate future crises. Many attempts at financial, economic and social engineering...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008797062
nonlinearity from a bubble calibration. In addition to forecasting the time of the end of a bubble, the new models can also …, forecasting their ending times and estimating fundamental value and the crash nonlinearity. The performance of the new models is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008797688
Banks reliance on short-term funding has increased over time. While an effective source of financing in good times, the 2007 financial crisis has exposed the vulnerability of banks and ultimately firms to such a liability structure. The authors show that banks that relied most on wholesale...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009009188
This paper explores the reliability of using prices of credit default swap contracts (CDS) as indicators of default probabilities during the 2007/2008 financial crisis. We use data from the Canadian financial system to show that these publicly available risk measures, while indicative of initial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009260883
Using the Panel Study of Income Dynamics, this paper studies household stock market participation and trading behavior in 2007 - 09, a period that saw a major stock market downswing. The stock market participation rate fell after the market crash. We find evidence that less-educated households,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010514033
We propose a tractable, model-based stress-testing framework where the solvency risks, funding liquidity risks and market risks of banks are intertwined. We highlight how coordination failure between a bank's creditors and adverse selection in the secondary market for the bank's assets interact,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011304764