Showing 1 - 10 of 13
This paper presents a coincident and a leading composite monthly indicator for the world business cycle - the Global … Economic Barometers. Both target the world’s output growth rate cycle. The calculation of these indicators comprises two main …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012170717
An endogenous growth model on finance and growth is formulated, and empirical analyses are conducted. The model exhibits structural shifts and breaks caused by institutional changes, suggesting that a linear approach is inadequate. To address this point empirically, we fit data for 90 countries...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001767757
In this paper, we analyze which currencies can be regarded as safe haven currencies. Our empirical approach allows us to distinguish between a low- and high stress regime, and to control for the impact of carry trade reversals and other fundamental determinants. We therefore address the question...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010433356
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001767793
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001767799
This paper examines whether a country's economic reforms are affected by reforms adopted by other countries. A simple model of economic reforms is developed to motivate the econometric work. Unsurprisingly, the model predicts that reforms are more likely when factors of production are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003764355
The paper investigates whether the impact of regulations on entrepreneurship depends on corruption. We first test whether regulations robustly deter firm entry into the markets. Our results show that some regulations are indeed important determinants of entrepreneurial activity. Specifically,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003762839
The "Great Lockdown" implemented in response to the COVID-19 pandemic has led to a severe world-wide economic crisis …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012250617
Survey data on inflation expectations show that: (i) private sector forecasts and central bank forecasts are not fully aligned and (ii) private sector forecasters disagree about inflation expectations. To reconcile these two facts we introduce dispersed information in a New Keynesian model,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011520661
At the zero lower bound (ZLB), expectations about the future path of monetary or fiscal policy are crucial. We model expectations formation under level-k thinking, a form of bounded rationality introduced by García-Schmidt and Woodford (2019) and Farhi and Werning (2017), consistent with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012101259