Showing 1 - 10 of 12
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012991347
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012991297
Using quantitative survey data from the Swedish Consumer Tendency Survey as well as a unique data set on media reports about inflation, we analyze the formation process of inflation perceptions and expectations as well as interrelations between the variables. Throughout the analysis, the role of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010425851
Building on Prospect Theory, we apply the concept of loss aversion to the formation of inflation perceptions and test empirically for non-linearities in the inflation-perceptions relation for a panel of 10 Euro area countries. Specifically, under the assumption of loss aversion, inflation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010425854
Using the Consensus Economics dataset with individual expert forecasts from G7 countries we investigate determinants of disagreement (crosssectional dispersion of forecasts) about six key economic indicators. Disagreement about real variables (GDP, consumption, investment and unemployment) has a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010425866
We investigate the relevance of the Carroll's sticky information model of inflation expectations for four major European economies (France, Germany, Italy and the United Kingdom). Using survey data on household and expert inflation expectations we argue that the model adequately captures the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010426367
We estimate the sticky information Phillips curve model ofMankiw and Reis (2002) using survey expectations of professional forecasters from four major European economies. Our estimates imply that inflation expectations in France, Germany and the United Kingdom are updated about once a year, in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010426368
This paper is the first attempt to investigate the performance of different learning rules in fitting survey data of household and expert inflation expectations in five core European economies (France, Germany, Italy, Netherlands and Spain). Overall it is found that constant gain learning...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012991141
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012991174
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012991202