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~isPartOf:"CAMP working paper series"
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~language:"eng"
~person:"Dijk, Herman K. van"
~person:"Florax, Raymond J. G. M."
~person:"Heckman, James J."
~person:"Koopman, Siem Jan"
~person:"Ravazzolo, Francesco"
~subject:"Kreditrisiko"
~subject:"Maximum-Likelihood-Schätzung"
~subject:"Meta-Analyse"
~subject:"Prognoseverfahren"
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~subject:"Volatilität"
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~type:"book"
~type_genre:"Collection of articles written by one author"
~type_genre:"Graue Literatur"
~type_genre:"Handbuch"
~type_genre:"Non-commercial literature"
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81
A dynamic multivariate heavy-tailed model for time-varying volatilities and correlations
Creal, Drew
;
Koopman, Siem Jan
;
Lucas, André
-
2010
We propose a new class of observation-driven time-varying parameter models for dynamic volatilities and correlations to handle time series from heavy-tailed distributions. The model adopts generalized autoregressive score dynamics to obtain a time-varying covariance matrix of the multivariate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011380135
Saved in:
82
Evidence on a real business cycle model with neutral and investment-specific technology shocks using Bayesian model averaging
Strachan, Rodney W.
;
Dijk, Herman K. van
-
2010
-
Version 17 May 2010
The empirical support for a real business cycle model with two technology shocks is evaluated using a Bayesian model averaging procedure. This procedure makes use of a finite mixture of many models within the class ofvector autoregressive (VAR) processes. The linear VAR model is extendedto...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011380727
Saved in:
83
Systemic risk diagnostics
Schwaab, Bernd
;
Lucas, André
;
Koopman, Siem Jan
-
2010
, and the rest of the
world
. Controlling for global,region-specific, and industry effects, we construct coincident measures …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011382067
Saved in:
84
A class of adaptive EM-based importance sampling algorithms for efficient and robust posterior and predictive simulation
Hoogerheide, Lennart
;
Opschoor, Anne
;
Dijk, Herman K. van
-
2011
A class of adaptive sampling methods is introduced for efficient posterior and predictive simulation. The proposed methods are robust in the sense that they can handle target distributions that exhibit non-elliptical shapes such as multimodality and skewness. The basic method makes use of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011382695
Saved in:
85
Divergent priors and well behaved Bayes factors
Strachan, Rodney W.
;
Dijk, Herman K. van
-
2011
Divergent priors are improper when defined on unbounded supports. Bartlett's paradox has been taken to imply that using improper priors results in ill-defined Bayes factors, preventing model comparison by posterior probabilities. However many improper priors have attractive properties that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011382697
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86
Observation driven mixed-measurement dynamic factor models with an application to credit risk
Creal, Drew
;
Schwaab, Bernd
;
Koopman, Siem Jan
;
Lucas, …
-
2011
This paper has been accepted for publication in the 'Review of Economics and Statistics'.We propose a dynamic factor model for mixed-measurement and mixed-frequency panel data. In this framework time series observations may come from a range of families of parametric distributions, may be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011383248
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87
Numerically accelerated importance sampling for nonlinear non-Gaussian state space models
Koopman, Siem Jan
;
Lucas, André
;
Scharth, Marcel
-
2012
We introduce a new efficient importance sampler for nonlinear non-Gaussian state space models. We propose a general and efficient likelihood evaluation method for this class of models via the combination of numerical and Monte Carlo integration methods. Our methodology explores the idea that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011386179
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88
Modeling dynamic volatilities and correlations under skewness and fat tails
Zhang, Xin
;
Creal, Drew
;
Koopman, Siem Jan
;
Lucas, André
-
2011
We propose a new model for dynamic volatilities and correlations of skewed and heavy-tailed data. Our model endows the Generalized Hyperbolic distribution with time-varying parameters driven by the score of the observation density function. The key novelty in our approach is the fact that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011386468
Saved in:
89
Testing for integration using evolving trend and seasonals models : a Bayesian approach
Koop, Gary
;
Dijk, Herman K. van
;
Hoek, Henk
-
1997
In this paper, we make use of state space models to investigate the presence of stochastic trends in economic time series. A model is specified where such a trend can enter either in the autoregressive representation or in a separate state equation. Tests based on the former are analogous to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010338455
Saved in:
90
Using matching, instrumental variables and control functions to estimate economic choice models
Heckman, James J.
;
Navarro-Lozano, Salvador
-
2003
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001738733
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