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Pyramid capitalism : cronyism, regulation, and firm productivity in Egypt

Diwan, Ishac; Keefer, Philip; Schiffbauer, Marc - 2016

Using a large, original database of 385 politically connected firms under the Mubarak regime in Egypt, we document for the first time the negative impact of cronyism on economic growth. In the early 2000s, a policy shift in Egypt led to the expansion of crony activities into new, previously...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011544875

Inference in VARs with conditional heteroskedasticity of unknown form

Brüggemann, Ralf; Jentsch, Carsten; Trenkler, Carsten - 2014

We derive a framework for asymptotically valid inference in stable vector autoregressive (VAR) models with conditional … heteroskedasticity of unknown form. We prove a joint central limit theorem for the VAR slope parameter and innovation covariance … parameter estimators and address bootstrap inference as well. Our results are important for correct inference on VAR statistics …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011490564

Foreign trade-economic growth nexus : evidence from Nigeria

Arodoye, Nosakhare L.; Iyoha, Milton A. - In: CBN journal of applied statistics 5 (2014) 1, pp. 121-141

This study examines the nexus between foreign trade and economic growth in Nigeria using quarterly time-series data for 1981Q1 through 2010Q4. In order to fully account for feedbacks, a vector autoregressive model is utilized. The results show that there is a stable, long- run relationship...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011474324

Foreign private investment and economic growth in Nigeria : a cointegrated VAR and Granger causality analysis

Abdullahi, F. Z.; Ladan, S.; Bakari, Haruna R. - In: CBN journal of applied statistics 2 (2011) 2, pp. 15-28

This research uses a cointegration VAR model to study the contemporaneous long-run dynamics of theimpact of Foreign … period January 1970 to December 2009. The Unit Root Test suggests that all the variables are integrated of order 1. The VAR …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011477457

Effects of exchange rate movements on economic growth in Nigeria

Akpan, Eme O.; Atan, Johnson A. - In: CBN journal of applied statistics 2 (2011) 2, pp. 1-14

This study investigates the effect of exchange rate movements on real output growth in Nigeria. Based on quarterly series for the period 1986 to 2010, the paper examines the possible direct and indirect relationship between exchange rates and GDP growth. The relationship is derived in two ways...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011477465

A generalised stochastic volatility in mean VAR : an updated algorithm

Mumtaz, Haroon - 2020

In this note we present an updated algorithm to estimate the VAR with stochastic volatility proposed in Mumtaz (2018 …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012243290

Economic growth, youth unemployment, and political and social instability : a study of policies and outcomes in post-Arab spring Egypt, Morocco, Jordan, and Tunisia

Prince, Heather; Halasa-Rappel, Yara; Khan, Amna - 2018

The study has surveyed the post-Arab Spring youth employment policies that have been adopted in Egypt, Morocco, Jordan, and Tunisia. In addition, the study examines whether and how the economic policies implemented in these countries led to high levels of youth unemployment prior to the Arab...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012020135

A generalised stochastic volatility in mean VAR

Mumtaz, Haroon - 2018

This paper introduces a VAR with stochastic volatility in mean where the residuals of the volatility equations and the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011812167

Growth and precariousness in Egypt

Fedi, L.; Amer, M.; Rashad, A. - 2019

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012209985

Bayesian predictive distributions of oil returns using mixed data sampling volatility models

Virbickaite, Audrone; Nguyen, Hoang; Minh-Ngoc Tran - 2023

This study explores the benefits of incorporating fat-tailed innovations, asymmetric volatility response, and an extended information set into crude oil return modeling and forecasting. To this end, we utilize standard volatility models such as Generalized Autoregressive Conditional...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014252427