Showing 1 - 10 of 65
We assess the contribution of "undue optimism" (Pigou) to short-run fluctuations. In our analysis, optimism pertains to total factor productivity which determines economic activity in the long run, but is not contemporaneously observed by market participants. In order to recover optimism shocks...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010328714
Mainstream economic research regards private debt as a determinant of GDP growth in the longrun. Levine (2005) surveys in details this branch of literature and explains the channels by which debt fuels growth. In this paper we switch the focus from the long to the short-run and study whether...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011584900
step further by integrating the narrative approach with an empirical VAR analysis, distinguishing between slowdown and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011872029
dynamic systems. Restrictions on the coefficients of an unrestricted VAR are proposed that are binding only in a limit as the … number of endogenous variables tends to infinity. It is shown that under such restrictions, an infinite-dimensional VAR (or … IVAR) can be arbitrarily well characterized by a large number of finite-dimensional models in the spirit of the global VAR …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276215
One of the leading methods of estimating the structural parameters of DSGE models is the VAR-based impulse response … response parameters exceeds the number of VAR model parameters. Situations in which this order condition is violated arise …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011431276
We study loans from banking and non-banking lenders to different groups of borrowers in order to unveil significant differences on how those respond to a shock and evaluate possible alternative explanations for such differences. The objective is to gain insights useful to explain the loan...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012207940
We identify total factor productivity (TFP) news shocks using standard VAR methodology and document a new stylized fact …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012214195
stress). Working with a VAR framework and a set-identification strategy which focuses on - but it is not limited to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012269496
. We document two new facts using VAR methods. First, a (positive) shock to future TFP generates a significant decline in …, VAR methods also establish a tight link between TFP news shocks and shocks that explain the majority of un …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012425634
This paper investigates static and dynamic connectedness between the first and second moments of fossil and renewable energy stock indices in the last decade at the daily frequency. For this purpose the Diebold and Yilmaz (2014) methodology is applied; in addition, endogenous break tests are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013353436