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I estimate the level of emissions cost pass-through to hourly wholesale electricity prices in Germany, based on spot … generation, and intersecting it with residual demand for fossil-based electricity for every hour. Determining the marginal … electricity prices by at least 84 %, with a central range of 98 %–104 % for different load periods. My results suggest that there …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010948833
Power market integration is analyzed in a two countries model with nationally regulated firms and costly public funds. If generation costs between the two countries are too similar negative business-stealing outweighs efficiency gains so that following integration welfare decreases in both...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010556079
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005765806
areas. In particular, the U.S. telecommunications sector was hit by a deep crisis and electricity reforms suffered under the … telephony and the electricity sector. Part of the explanation lies in an underestimate of the coordination problems, resulting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005765998
Myriad policy measures aim to reduce greenhouse gas emissions from the electricity sector, promote generation from … lower electricity prices. Even with multiple market failures, emissions pricing remains the single most cost …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010764280
, however, be observed across countries and sectors. We focus on electricity and gas sectors because energy sectors have usually …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008572553
Prediction markets - markets used to forecast future events - have been used to accurately forecast the outcome of political contests, sporting events, and, occasionally, economic outcomes. This chapter summarizes the latest research on prediction markets in order to further their utilization by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010877703
Recent articles suggest that a Bayesian vector autoregression (BVAR) with shrinkage is a good forecast device even when the number of variables is large. In this paper we evaluate different variants of the BVAR with respect to their forecast accuracy for euro area real GDP growth and HICP...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010877728
__Abstract__ The paper investigates the impact of jumps in forecasting co-volatility, accommodating leverage effects … for forecasting weekly and monthly horizons. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011274348
In the paper we analyze determinants of the capital market beta risk in Poland in the monthly period 1996-2002. The beta risk is measured as a time-varying parameter estimated in a regression of the Warsaw stock indexes (WIG and WIG20 separately) on major foreign stock market indexes (DJIA,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005249463