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Effects of U.S. Inflation on Hong Kong and Singapore

Cheung, Yin-Wong; Yuen, Jude - 2021

this paper, we examine how inflation rates in two small open economies, namely Hong Kong and Singapore, interact with those … model is used to study the inflation dynamics. It is found that Hong Kong and Singapore inflation rates, but not the U ….S. one, respond to the error correction term. Compared with Singapore, the Hong Kong inflation rate is more responsive to U …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013320545

The Economic Determinants of U.S. Presidential Approval - A Survey

Berlemann, Michael - 2012

Even after four decades of research it remains unclear, whether presidential popularity depends on the state of the economy. While about half of all studies for the United States find a significant effect of unemployment and inflation on presidential popularity, the others do not. Additional...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013108469

Government Spending Shocks and the Multiplier : New Evidence from the U.S. Based on Natural Disasters

Yang, Weonho - 2012

The literature on estimating macroeconomic effects of fiscal policy requires suitable instruments to identify exogenous and unanticipated spending shocks. So far, the instrument of choice has been military build-ups. This instrument, however, largely limits the analysis to the US as few other...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013097432

Government Ideology and Economic Policy-Making in the United States

Potrafke, Niklas - 2017

This paper describes the role of government ideology on economic policy-making in the United States. I consider studies using data for the national, state and local level and elaborate on checks and balances, especially divided government, measurement of government ideology and empirical...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012955414

Economic Policy Uncertainty and Unemployment in the United States : A Nonlinear Approach

Caggiano, Giovanni - 2018

We model U.S. post-WWII monthly data with a Smooth Transition VAR model and study the effects of an unanticipated increase in economic policy uncertainty on unemployment in recessions and expansions. We find the response of unemployment to be statistically and economically larger in recessions....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012913269

Time Variation in U.S. Wage Dynamics

Hofmann, Boris - 2011

This paper explores time variation in the dynamic effects of technology shocks on U.S. output, prices, interest rates as well as real and nominal wages. The results indicate considerable time variation in U.S. wage dynamics that can be linked to the monetary policy regime. Before and after the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013131601

Persistence and Cycles in the US Federal Funds Rate

Caporale, Guglielmo Maria - 2013

This paper uses long-range dependence techniques to analyse two important features of the US Federal Funds effective rate, namely its persistence and cyclical behaviour. It examines annual, monthly, bi-weekly and weekly data, from 1954 until 2010. Two models are considered. One is based on an...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013089178

US Monetary Policy in a Globalized World

Cuaresma, Jesús Crespo - 2016

We analyze the interaction between monetary policy in the US and the global economy, using a global vector autoregressive model with time-varying parameters and stochastic volatility (TVP-SV-GVAR). We find that a contractionary US monetary policy shock leads to a persistent fall in international...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012994181

Monetary Policy Transmission and Trade-Offs in the United States : Old and New

Hofmann, Boris - 2018

This study shows that, in the United States, the effects of monetary policy on credit and housing markets have become considerably stronger relative to the impact on GDP since the mid-1980s, while the effects on inflation have become weaker. Macroeconomic stabilization through monetary policy...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012930281

The Effects of Monetary Policy on Unemployment Dynamics under Model Uncertainty - Evidence from the US and the Euro Area

Altavilla, Carlo - 2013

This paper explores the role that the imperfect knowledge of the structure of the economy plays in the uncertainty surrounding the effects of rule-based monetary policy on unemployment dynamics in the euro area and the US. We employ a Bayesian model averaging procedure on a wide range of models...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012753184