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One of the leading methods of estimating the structural parameters of DSGE models is the VAR-based impulse response … response parameters exceeds the number of VAR model parameters. Situations in which this order condition is violated arise …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011418016
We assess the contribution of "undue optimism" (Pigou) to short-run fluctuations. In our analysis, optimism pertains to total factor productivity which determines economic activity in the long run, but is not contemporaneously observed by market participants. In order to recover optimism shocks...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010224834
crisis within a structural VAR framework. An expansionary balance sheet shock stimulates bank lending, stabilizes financial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010383862
We derive a framework for asymptotically valid inference in stable vector autoregressive (VAR) models with conditional … heteroskedasticity of unknown form. We prove a joint central limit theorem for the VAR slope parameter and innovation covariance … parameter estimators and address bootstrap inference as well. Our results are important for correct inference on VAR statistics …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011490564
Mainstream economic research regards private debt as a determinant of GDP growth in the longrun. Levine (2005) surveys in details this branch of literature and explains the channels by which debt fuels growth. In this paper we switch the focus from the long to the short-run and study whether...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011566459
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. We document two new facts using VAR methods. First, a (positive) shock to future TFP generates a significant decline in …, VAR methods also establish a tight link between TFP news shocks and shocks that explain the majority of un …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012373126
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012387105
In this note we present an updated algorithm to estimate the VAR with stochastic volatility proposed in Mumtaz (2018 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012243290