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In this paper, an Unobserved Components Model is employed to decompose German real GDP into the trend, cycle and seasonal components and the working day effect. The most important findings are: 1) The growth rate of potential output declined from 4.2 per cent in the sixties to 1.4 per cent at...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011409368
This paper deals with the estimation of the output gap. We use uni- and bivariate unobserved components models in order to decompose the observed German GDP-series into trend, cycle and seasonal components. The results show that using the ifo business assessment variable as an indicator for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009781503
The concept of the employment threshold plays an important role in the public discussion of unemployment. The employment threshol d is defined as that growth rate of output which is necessary to keep employment constant despite the continuous rise in labour productivity. It is related to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009781535
The production index is an important indicator for assessing the cyclical state of the economy. Unfortunately, the monthly time series is contaminated by many noisy components like seasonal variations, calendar and vacation effects. Only part of those nuisance components are explicitly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011514105
wages and the labor market success of two kinds of entrepreneurial women in Germany - self-employed and salaried …-employment sector that offers better opportunities and monetary success. Self-employed women in Germany fare well and most importantly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010265025
There are few studies on occupational choices in Germany, and the second generation occupational choice and mobility is … like Germany occupations also reflect a general socio-economic standing. This paper looks at the patterns of employment in … Germany, analyzes how individual men and women access jobs given their family background, and investigates why men and women …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010272271
for Germany, the largest European immigration country, shows that more than 60% of the migrants are indeed repeat migrants …. The out-migration per year is low, about 10%. Migrants are more likely to leave again early after their arrival in Germany …, and when they have social and familial bonds in the home country, but less likely when they have a job in Germany and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010272273
circular migration as it is manifested by the frequency of exits of migrants living in Germany, and by the number of years … Germany, the largest European immigration country, are indeed repeat migrants. The findings indicate that immigrants from … and to stay out of Germany for longer. Males exit more frequently than females but do not differ in the time spent out …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010272274
panel data from Germany. More than 60% of migrants from the guestworker countries are indeed repeat or circular migrants …. Migrants from European Union member countries, those not owning a dwelling in Germany, the younger and the older (excluding the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010272312
This paper focuses on the entrepreneurial endeavors of immigrants and natives in Germany. We pay closer attention to … Germany represent about 70% of all Turkish entrepreneurs in the European Union. We identify the characteristics of the self …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324207