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Investing in European Stock Markets for High-Technology Firms

Pierdzioch, Christian; Schertler, Andrea - 2005

We used a recursive modeling approach to study whether investors could, in real time, have used information on the comovement of stock markets to forecast stock returns in European stock markets for high-technology firms. We used weekly data on returns in the Neuer Markt, the Nouveau Marché,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260542

Noise Traders? Trigger Rates, FX Options, and Smiles

Pierdzioch, Christian - 2000

A contingent claims valuation model which allows to highlight the implications of program trading in spot markets for the pricing of European-style foreign currency options and for the volatility strike structure implicit in these contracts is devoloped. The curvature of the volatility strike...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260624

Wage cyclicality under different regimes of industrial relations

Gartner, Hermann; Schank, Thorsten; Schnabel, Claus - 2010

Germany, we find that works councils affect wage growth only in combination with collective bargaining. Wage adjustments to …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010272104

Time series properties of the German monthly production index

Flaig, Gebhard - 2003

The production index is an important indicator for assessing the cyclical state of the economy. Unfortunately, the monthly time series is contaminated by many noisy components like seasonal variations, calendar and vacation effects. Only part of those nuisance components are explicitly...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011514105

Unoberserved components models for quarterly German GDP

Flaig, Gebhard - 2002

In this paper, an Unobserved Components Model is employed to decompose German real GDP into the trend, cycle and seasonal components and the working day effect. The most important findings are: 1) The growth rate of potential output declined from 4.2 per cent in the sixties to 1.4 per cent at...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011409368

Politics and the Stock Market: Evidence from Germany

Pierdzioch, Christian; Döpke, Jörg - 2004

We analyze the interaction of stock market movements and politics in Germany. In contrast to the empirical evidence …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260493

Feedback Trading and Predictability of Stock Returns in Germany, 1880?1913

Pierdzioch, Christian - 2004

I use a time-varying parameter model in order to study the predictability of monthly real stock returns in Germany over …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260497

Business Cycle Volatility in Germany

Buch, Claudia M.; Doepke, Joerg; Pierdzioch, Christian - 2002

structural breaks in the dynamics and the volatility of the real output process in Germany can be detected. We report evidence … that output volatility has declined in Germany. Yet, this decline in output volatility is not as clear-cut as it is in the … in Germany reflects good economic and monetary policy or merely ?good luck?. …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260526

Estimating the output gap using business survey data : a bivariate structural time series model for the German economy

Flaig, Gebhard; Ploetscher, Claudia - 2000

This paper deals with the estimation of the output gap. We use uni- and bivariate unobserved components models in order to decompose the observed German GDP-series into trend, cycle and seasonal components. The results show that using the ifo business assessment variable as an indicator for the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009781503

Input demand and the short- and long-run employment thresholds : an empirical analysis for the German manufacturing sector

Flaig, Gebhard; Rottmann, Horst - 2000

The concept of the employment threshold plays an important role in the public discussion of unemployment. The employment threshol d is defined as that growth rate of output which is necessary to keep employment constant despite the continuous rise in labour productivity. It is related to the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009781535