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Labor demand during the crisis : what happened in Germany?
Bohachova, Olga; Boockmann, Bernhard; Buch, Claudia M. - 2011 - This version: October 2011
In Germany, the employment response to the post-2007 crisis has been muted compared to other industrialized countries …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009375256
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Time series properties of the German monthly production index
Flaig, Gebhard - 2003
The production index is an important indicator for assessing the cyclical state of the economy. Unfortunately, the monthly time series is contaminated by many noisy components like seasonal variations, calendar and vacation effects. Only part of those nuisance components are explicitly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011514105
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Unoberserved components models for quarterly German GDP
Flaig, Gebhard - 2002
In this paper, an Unobserved Components Model is employed to decompose German real GDP into the trend, cycle and seasonal components and the working day effect. The most important findings are: 1) The growth rate of potential output declined from 4.2 per cent in the sixties to 1.4 per cent at...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011409368
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Estimating the output gap using business survey data : a bivariate structural time series model for the German economy
Flaig, Gebhard; Ploetscher, Claudia - 2000
This paper deals with the estimation of the output gap. We use uni- and bivariate unobserved components models in order to decompose the observed German GDP-series into trend, cycle and seasonal components. The results show that using the ifo business assessment variable as an indicator for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009781503
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Declining Output Volatility in Germany : Impulses, Propagation, and the Role of Monetary Policy
Fritsche, Ulrich; Kuzin, Vladimir N. - 2004
We analyse the decline in output volatility in Germany. A lower level of variance in an autoregressive model of output … error term variance (reduced impulses). In Germany the decline output volatility is due to a decline in the persistence of … sudden break. The evolution of Germany's short-term real interest rate volatility coincides with the change of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274489