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Unit Labor Cost Growth Differentials in the Euro Area, Germany, and the US: Lessons from PANIC and Cluster Analysis

Fritsche, Ulrich; Kuzin, Vladimir N. - 2007

Inflation differentials in the Euro area are mainly due to a sustained divergence of wage developments across the Euro area, and narrower differences in labour productivity growth (Alvarez et al., 2006). We investigate convergence of inflation using unit labour cost (ULC) growth and applying...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260899

Leading indicators of German business cycles: An assessment of properties

Fritsche, Ulrich; Stephan, Sabine - 2000

A reliable leading indicator should possess the following properties: (1) The movements in the indicator series should resemble those in the business cycle reference series. (2) The relation between the reference series and the indicator should be statistically significant and stable over time....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324215

'Marginal Employment' and the Demand for Heterogenous Labour: Empirical Evidence from a Multi-Factor Labour Demand Model for Germany

Freier, Ronny; Steiner, Viktor - 2007

marginal employment range between -.4 (number of male workers in west Germany) to -1 (working hours for women). We illustrate …? social security contributions (SSC) on marginal employment in Germany. …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324232

Effective profit taxation and the elasticity of the corporate income tax base: evidence from German corporate tax return data

Dwenger, Nadja; Steiner, Viktor - 2008

introduction of a major corporate tax reform in Germany. Endogeneity of the effective tax rate is controlled for by an instrumental …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010265036

Financial leverage and corporate taxation: evidence from German corporate tax return data

Dwenger, Nadja; Steiner, Viktor - 2009

corporate tax reform in Germany. The financial leverage is measured by the ratio of long-term debt to total capital. Endogeneity …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010271086

Asymmetric monetary policy effects in Germany

Tober, Silke; Kuzin, Vladimir N. - 2004

In a small structural model we find asymmetries in the effects of monetary policy in Germany depending on whether the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274488

Declining Output Volatility in Germany : Impulses, Propagation, and the Role of Monetary Policy

Fritsche, Ulrich; Kuzin, Vladimir N. - 2004

We analyse the decline in output volatility in Germany. A lower level of variance in an autoregressive model of output … error term variance (reduced impulses). In Germany the decline output volatility is due to a decline in the persistence of … sudden break. The evolution of Germany's short-term real interest rate volatility coincides with the change of the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274489

Testing for convergence in stock markets: a non-linear factor approach

Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Erdogan, Burcu; Kuzin, … - 2009

including monthly stock price indices for five EU countries (Germany, France, the Netherlands, Ireland and the UK) as well as …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274513

Structural unemployment and the output gap in Germany : evidence from an SVAR analysis within a hysteresis framework

Fritsche, Ulrich; Logeay, Camille - 2002

. Our identification of the model implies long-lasting output gaps for Germany – especially for the disinflation period of …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260640

Do leading indicators help to predict business cycle turning points in Germany?

Fritsche, Ulrich; Kouzine, Vladimir - 2002

Using a binary reference series based on the dating procedure of Artis, Kontolemis and Osborn (1997) different procedures for predicting turning points of the German business cycles were tested. Specifically, a probit model as proposed by Estrella and Mishkin (1997) as well as Markov-switching...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260642