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Quantifying Brexit : from ex post to ex ante using structural gravity

Felbermayr, Gabriel; Gröschl, Jasmin Katrin; … - 2018

Exploiting changes in the geography of economic integration in Europe, this paper uses detailed bilateral trade data for 50 sectors to carry out an econometric ex post evaluation of the trade cost effects of the United Kingdom's various arrangements with the European Union. The analysis reveals...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011933707

Firm dynamics and residual inequality in open economies

Felbermayr, Gabriel; Giammario, Impullitti; Prat, Julien - 2014

Increasing wage inequality between similar workers plays an important role for overall inequality trends in industrialized societies. To analyze this pattern, we incorporate directed labor market search into a dynamic model of international trade with heterogeneous firms and homogeneous workers....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010250120

Time series properties of the German monthly production index

Flaig, Gebhard - 2003

The production index is an important indicator for assessing the cyclical state of the economy. Unfortunately, the monthly time series is contaminated by many noisy components like seasonal variations, calendar and vacation effects. Only part of those nuisance components are explicitly...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011514105

Mitigating liquidity constraints : public export credit guarantees in Germany

Felbermayr, Gabriel; Heiland, Inga; Yalçin, Erdal - 2012

guarantees in Germany. Covering the default risk of exporters' foreign customers, the policy is supposed to enable funding of …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009580766

Unoberserved components models for quarterly German GDP

Flaig, Gebhard - 2002

In this paper, an Unobserved Components Model is employed to decompose German real GDP into the trend, cycle and seasonal components and the working day effect. The most important findings are: 1) The growth rate of potential output declined from 4.2 per cent in the sixties to 1.4 per cent at...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011409368

Estimating the output gap using business survey data : a bivariate structural time series model for the German economy

Flaig, Gebhard; Ploetscher, Claudia - 2000

This paper deals with the estimation of the output gap. We use uni- and bivariate unobserved components models in order to decompose the observed German GDP-series into trend, cycle and seasonal components. The results show that using the ifo business assessment variable as an indicator for the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009781503

Input demand and the short- and long-run employment thresholds : an empirical analysis for the German manufacturing sector

Flaig, Gebhard; Rottmann, Horst - 2000

The concept of the employment threshold plays an important role in the public discussion of unemployment. The employment threshol d is defined as that growth rate of output which is necessary to keep employment constant despite the continuous rise in labour productivity. It is related to the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009781535

Dissecting between-plant and within-plant wage dispersion : evidence from Germany

Baumgarten, Daniel; Felbermayr, Gabriel; Lehwald, Sybille - 2018

Using rich linked employer-employee data for (West) Germany between 1996 and 2014, we analyze the most important … the sources of the recent slowdown in German wage inequality and compare the results for West Germany to the ones for East … Germany. We disentangle the relative contribution of each single variable to the rise in wage dispersion using recentered …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011933705