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Learning stability in economies with heterogenous agents

Honkapohja, Seppo; Mitra, Kaushik - 2002

An economy exhibits structural heterogeneity when the forecasts of different agents have different effects on the determination of aggregate variables. Various forms of structural heterogeneity can arise and we study the important case of economies in which agents' behavior depends on forecasts...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011541172

Expectations and the stability problem for optimal monetary policies

Honkapohja, Seppo; Evans, George W. - 2000

Eine auf den Fundamentaldaten beruhende Regelbindung der Geldpolitik ohne Selbstverpflichtung, die bei vollkommen … geeigneter Weise in die optimale Geldpolitik einbezogen werden. Diese eindeutige Schlußfolgerung gilt auch dann, wenn sich der … wichtig es ist, die Geldpolitik angemessen zu gestalten und dabei nicht nur die Fundamentaldaten, sondern auch direkt die …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295698

A model of near-rational exuberance

Bullard, James B.; Evans, George W.; Honkapohja, Seppo - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 2007

We study how the use of judgment or "add-factors" in forecasting may disturb the set of equilibrium outcomes when agents learn using recursive methods. We isolate conditions under which new phenomena, which we call exuberance equilibria, can exist in a standard self-referential environment....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005352864

Monetary policy, judgment and near-rational exuberance

Bullard, James B.; Evans, George W.; Honkapohja, Seppo - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 2007

We study how the use of judgment or "add-factors" in macroeconomic forecasting may disturb the set of equilibrium outcomes when agents learn using recursive methods. We examine the possibility of a new phenomenon, which we call exuberance equilibria, in the New Keynesian monetary policy...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005352949

Near-rational exuberance

Bullard, James B.; Evans, George W.; Honkapohja, Seppo - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 2004

We study how the use of judgement or "add-factors" in macroeconomic forecasting may disturb the set of equilibrium outcomes when agents learn using recursive methods. We isolate conditions under which new phenomena, which we call exuberance equilibria, can exist in standard macroeconomic...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005707643