Showing 1 - 10 of 11
The paper shows that there is a substantial degree of heterogeneity in the ability of Fed watchers to forecast US monetary policy decisions. Based on a novel database for 268 professional forecasters since 1999, the average forecast error of FOMC decisions varies 5 to 10 basis points between the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010299141
The paper discusses key elements of optimal central bank design and applies its findings to the Eurosystem. A …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003301388
This paper analyzes empirically differences in the size of central bank boards (or monetary policy committees) across … new dataset that covers the de jure membership size of 84 central bank boards at the end of 2003. We find that larger and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010299135
How many people should decide about monetary policy? In this paper, we take an empirical perspective on this issue, analyzing the relationship between the number of monetary policy decisionmakers and monetary policy outcomes. Using a new data set that characterizes Monetary Policy Committees...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010299138
welfare gain associated with making the central bank less conservative than society, however if the outside option is in real … of central bank conservatism. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011397779
size and voting power. One way to implement this principle is a rotation scheme for national central bank governors that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011511101
distribution in the European Central Bank (ECB) council. We show that, in a model where labor unions internalize the inflationary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011402520
representation in a federal central bank addressing this question. Optimal voting weights reflect two opposing forces: the wish to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002521678
The empirical literature on central banking has found measures of central bank independence/conservatism to be …. We find that an increase in central bank conservatism leads to higher short-term interest rates and a more activist … economy, higher output and somewhat lower inflation. We also investigate the interaction between the central bank and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009781685
In this note, we use multivariate models estimated with Bayesian techniques and an out-ofsample approach to investigate whether money growth Granger-causes output growth in the United States. We find surprisingly strong evidence for a money-output link over the 1960-2005 period. However, further...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010299137