Showing 1 - 10 of 143
We empirically evaluate a behavioural model with boundedly rational traders who disagree about the persistence of deviations from the fundamental stock price. Fundamentalist traders believe in mean-reversion, while chartists extrapolate trends. Agents gradually switch between the two rules,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011301214
Recent work on complex adaptive systems for modeling financialmarkets is surveyed. Financia1 markets areviewed as evolutionary systems between different, competing tradingstrategies. Agents are boundedly rational inthe sense that they tend to follow strategies that have performedwell, according...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011313923
A simple asset pricing model with two types of adaptively learning traders,fundamentalists and technical analysts, is studied. Fractions of these tradertypes, which are both boundedly rational, change over time according toevolutionary learning, with technical analysts conditioning their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011313936
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010191433
. Theory translates into an intuitive econometric system that identifies the causal impact of trade on income and growth, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011298529
area sovereign debt crises. We find that macro and default-specific world factors are a primary source of default …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010484886
the framework of ‘the new quantitative trade model.' We complement theory with a simple two-stage estimating procedure …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012669805
Unilateral climate policy suffers from carbon leakage, i.e. the (partial) offset of the initial emission reduction by increases in other countries. Different than most typically discussed climate policies, degrowth not only aims at reducing the fossil fuel use in an economy, but rather at a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011718521
This paper provides evidence on the degree of persistence of one of the key components of the CAPM, namely the market risk premium, as well as its volatility. The analysis applies fractional integration methods to data for the US, Germany and Japan, and for robustness purposes considers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012199998
We propose a simple method to identify the effects of unilateral and non-discriminatory trade policies on bilateral trade within a theoretically-consistent empirical gravity model. Specifically, we argue that structural gravity estimations should be performed with data that include not only...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011750135