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We suggest an alternative use of disaggregate information to forecast the aggregate variable of interest, that is to include disaggregate information or disaggregate variables in the aggregate model as opposed to first forecasting the disaggregate variables separately and then aggregating those...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604635
This paper estimates the effects of exogenous fiscal policy shocks in Spain in a VAR framework. Government expenditure …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604693
dynamic systems. Restrictions on the coefficients of an unrestricted VAR are proposed that are binding only in a limit as the … number of endogenous variables tends to infinity. It is shown that under such restrictions, an infinite-dimensional VAR (or … IVAR) can be arbitrarily well characterized by a large number of finite-dimensional models in the spirit of the global VAR …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605044
help predicting euro area GDP. We investigate whether financial variables provide additional predictive power. We use a VAR … between 1999 and 2002. Results from the historical decomposition of a VAR model indeed suggest that in that period shocks were …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605154
and macroeconomic variables in a VAR framework. From impulse-response functions the results, with annual data for a set of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605219
empirical relationship between US monetary policy and commodity prices by means of a standard VAR system, commonly used in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605278
-used probit approach, but the dynamics of regressors are endogenized using a VAR. The combined model is called a ‘ProbVAR’. At any …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605301
(2005) and a large scale model, introducing the sign restrictions approach to the global VAR (GVAR) literature, that allows …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605364
the basis of a VAR analysis, the study finds that i) global money demand shocks affect global inflation and also global …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605507
policy debate after the global financial crisis. We estimate a panel VAR for 21 advanced economies based on quarterly data …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605567