Showing 1 - 10 of 36
We examine the asymmetric impact of shocks to macroeconomic expectations and their underlying dispersion on equity risk premia across different market regimes. First, we rely on a two-state logit mixture vector autoregressive model and use Consensus Economics survey data on GDP growth,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014388605
We investigate the dynamics of prices, information and expectations in a competitive, noisy, dynamic asset pricing … only if traders over- (under-) rely on public information with respect to optimal statistical weights. Both phenomena, in … uncertainty, over-reliance on public information obtains if noise trade displays low persistence. This defines a Keynesianʺ region …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003897551
This paper is concerned with empirical and theoretical basis of the Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH). The paper begins with an overview of the statistical properties of asset returns at different frequencies (daily, weekly and monthly), and considers the evidence on return predictability, risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003983206
public information. We argue that, when trading frequencies differ across traders, asset prices reflect investors' Higher … Order Expectations (HOEs) about the two factors that influence the aggregate demand: fundamentals information and liquidity …-rely on public information, the market displays high illiquidity, and low volume of informational trading; conversely, when …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009011130
We study the impact of diverse beliefs on conduct of monetary policy. We use a New Keynesian Model solved with a quadratic approximation. Aggregation renders the belief distribution an aggregate state variable. Diverse expectations change standard results about a smooth trade-off between...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010496147
This paper proposes a new double-question survey method that elicits information about how individuals …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011586267
A growing body of literature analyses the impact of news on companies' equity prices. We add to this literature by showing that the transmission channel of news to prices differs across sectors. First, we disentangle sectoral equity prices into components of expected future earnings and equity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012316963
. Uncertainty, in contrast, increases the response. We rationalize our findings in a model of imperfect information. In the model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012404549
We examine whether the desire for more information is people's dominant motive for reading economic and political news … experimentally vary people's beliefs about the informativeness of news. Inconsistent with the desire for more information being the … information reduce their demand for news from this newspaper. Furthermore, treated respondents who think that a news outlet is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012156434
structure of information. Using a novel and purposefully simple set-up, we experimentally analyze preferences for information … along four dimensions. We find evidence that the majority of subjects prefers receiving information sooner. This preference …) consumption events, later information becomes more attractive. We also identify an aversion towards piecemeal information …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011523747