Showing 1 - 10 of 344
, or "uncertainty shocks", are an important model ingredient. First, they account for countercyclical movements in risk … changes in both risk-premia and expected future real rates, uncertainty shocks account for about 1/2 of the variance of long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012009116
-Bernanke period only. Focusing on this period, the "risk-management" approach is found to be responsible for monetary policy easings …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011884396
We address the question to what extent a central bank can de-risk its balance sheet by unconventional monetary policy … operations. To this end, we propose a novel risk measurement framework to empirically study the time-variation in central bank … generated beneficial risk spill-overs across monetary policy operations, causing overall risk to be nonlinear in exposures. Some …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011959298
What are the incentives for governments to coordinate their policies internationally when there is model disagreement and uncertainty? We build a model where countries disagree on policy targets and how policies affect the economies, and show that uncertainty not only determines the type of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011966668
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001702821
The argument that policy risk, i.e., uncertainty about monetary and fiscal policy, has been holding back the economic … recovery in the U.S. during the Great Recession has a large popular appeal. We analyze the role of policy risk in explaining … business cycle fluctuations by using an estimated New Keynesian model featuring policy risk as well as uncertainty about …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009772961
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009766427
Recent interest in "Risk Management"has highlighted the relevance of Bayesian analysis for robust monetary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003747990
The enlargement of the European Monetary Union is likely to lead to an increase in uncertainty regarding the transmission of monetary policy for the larger union. Adding new members to the central bank council will in addition imply that the policy reaction of the enlarged council will be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003110104
This paper proposes a procedure to investigate the nature and persistence of the forces governing the yield curve and to use the extracted information for forecasting purposes. The latent factors of a model of the Nelson-Siegel type are directly linked to the maturity of the yields through the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003782668