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Does conservatism matter? : a time series approach to central banking

Berger, Helge; Woitek, Ulrich - 1999

The empirical literature on central banking has found measures of central bank independence/conservatism to be …. We find that an increase in central bank conservatism leads to higher short-term interest rates and a more activist … economy, higher output and somewhat lower inflation. We also investigate the interaction between the central bank and the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009781685

Overvalued : Swedish monetary policy in the 1930s

Rathke, Alexander; Straumann, Tobias; Woitek, Ulrich - 2011

in the 1930s is sometimes seen as an example of a central bank that was relatively innovative in terms of the conduct of …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009489289

Cycles and long-range behaviour in the European stock markets

Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Gil-Alaña, Luis A.; Poza, Carlos - 2019

This paper uses a modelling framework which includes two singularities (or poles) in the spectral density function, one corresponding to the long-run (zero) frequency and the other to the cyclical (non-zero) frequency. The adopted specification is very general, since it allows for fractional...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012123055

Electoral uncertainty, fiscal policies & growth : theory and evidence from Germany, the UK and the US

Oikonomidēs, Geōrgios; Malley, James R.; … - 2003

In this paper we study the link between elections, fiscal policy and economic growth/fluctuations. The set-up is a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model of growth and endogenously chosen fiscal policy, in which two political parties can alternate in power. The party in office chooses...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011511068

Real wages and business cycle asymmetries : presented at CESifo conference "Academic Use of ifo Survey Data", December 2003

Woitek, Ulrich - 2004

The cyclicality of real wages has important implications for the validity of competing business cycle theories. However, the empirical evidence on the aggregate level is inconclusive. Using a threshold vector autoregressive model for the US and Germany to condition the relationship between real...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011449261

The impact of containment measures and monetary and fiscal responses on US financial markets during the Covid-19 pandemic

Abakah, Emmanuel Joel Aikins; Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; … - 2021

This paper analyses the effects of containment measures and monetary and fiscal responses on US financial markets during the Covid-19 pandemic. More specifically, it applies fractional integration methods to analyse their impact on the daily S&P500, the US Treasury Bond Index (USTB), the S&P...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012584220

The Covid-19 pandemic and the degree of persistence of US stock prices and bond yields

Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Gil-Alaña, Luis A.; Poza, Carlos - 2021

This paper analyses the possible effects of the Covid-19 pandemic on the degree of persistence of US monthly stock prices and bond yields using fractional integration techniques. The model is estimated first over the period January 1966-December 2020 and then a recursive approach is taken to...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012494826