Showing 1 - 10 of 17
Out-of-sample forecasting tests of DSGE models against time-series benchmarks such as an unrestricted VAR are … improve forecasts from an unrestricted VAR. In testing forecasting capacity they also have quite weak power, particularly on … improve on VAR forecasts. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010380944
This paper investigates whether codependence restrictions can be uniquely imposed on VAR and VEC models via the so …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011489949
We derive a framework for asymptotically valid inference in stable vector autoregressive (VAR) models with conditional … heteroskedasticity of unknown form. We prove a joint central limit theorem for the VAR slope parameter and innovation covariance … parameter estimators and address bootstrap inference as well. Our results are important for correct inference on VAR statistics …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011490564
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013253091
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013186196
We develop a data-rich measure of expected macroeconomic skewness in the US economy. Expected macroeconomic skewness is strongly procyclical, mainly reflects the cyclicality in the skewness of real variables, is highly correlated with the cross-sectional skewness of firm-level employment growth,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013175827
standard VAR model. Debt monetisation is hardly expansionary, as it raises public demand that crowds out almost as much demand …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012483860
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012387105
In this note we present an updated algorithm to estimate the VAR with stochastic volatility proposed in Mumtaz (2018 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012243290
following econometric techniques OLS, VAR, TAR, GMM and VECM. The results showed a positive and significant, but weak …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012298406