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We derive a framework for asymptotically valid inference in stable vector autoregressive (VAR) models with conditional … heteroskedasticity of unknown form. We prove a joint central limit theorem for the VAR slope parameter and innovation covariance … parameter estimators and address bootstrap inference as well. Our results are important for correct inference on VAR statistics …
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In this note we present an updated algorithm to estimate the VAR with stochastic volatility proposed in Mumtaz (2018 …
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following econometric techniques OLS, VAR, TAR, GMM and VECM. The results showed a positive and significant, but weak …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012298406
This paper uses a range of structural VARs to show that the response of US stock prices to fiscal shocks changed in 1980. Over the period 1955-1980 an expansionary spending or revenue shock was associated with modestly higher stock prices. After 1980, along with a decline in the fiscal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011627039
Background: The present study examines the short term dynamics and long term equilibrium relationship among the stock markets of 17 countries in Western Europe as well as the world market, using time series techniques. Methods: Weekly returns of market benchmark indices of the respective...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011590636
This paper demonstrates a significant, long-running relationship between stock prices and domestic interest rates in Turkey’s financial markets for the period of 2001 M1 – 2017 M4. Cointegration analysis is investigated using the autoregressive-distributed lag bounds (ARDL Bounds) test and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011972648
autoregressive (VAR) model with the impulse response function and the forecast variance decomposition error. Findings: The empirical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011825898