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that monetary aggregates have a potentially significant role in providing information about current real output. We then … proceed to analyze the information content of money in a forward-looking model in which monetary policy is optimally … determined subject to incomplete information about the true state of the economy. We show that monetary aggregates may have …
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In this paper we study the role of the exchange rate in conducting monetary policy in an economy with near-zero nominal interest rates as experienced in Japan since the mid-1990s. Our analysis is based on an estimated model of Japan, the United States and the euro area with rational expectations...
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The purpose of the paper is to survey and discuss inflation targeting in the context of monetary policy rules. The paper provides a general conceptual discussion of monetary policy rules, attempts to clarify the essential characteristics of inflation targeting, compares inflation targeting to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009768278
The predictive likelihood is of particular relevance in a Bayesian setting when the purpose is to rank models in a forecast comparison exercise. This paper discusses how the predictive likelihood can be estimated for any subset of the observable variables in linear Gaussian state-space models...
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