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information. We explore a range of new forecasting approaches for the retail price of gasoline and compare their accuracy with the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010464683
Futures markets are a potentially valuable source of information about market expectations. Exploiting this information …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010409922
Predictions of oil prices reaching $100 per barrel during the winter of 2021/22 have raised fears of persistently high inflation and rising inflation expectations for years to come. We show that these concerns have been overstated. A $100 oil scenario of the type discussed by many observers,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012698202
It is commonly believed that the response of the price of corn ethanol (and hence of the price of corn) to shifts in biofuel policies operates in part through market expectations and shifts in storage demand, yet to date it has proved difficult to measure these expectations and to empirically...
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The purpose of the paper is to survey and discuss inflation targeting in the context of monetary policy rules. The paper provides a general conceptual discussion of monetary policy rules, attempts to clarify the essential characteristics of inflation targeting, compares inflation targeting to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009768278
matching estimator. The existing asympotic theory for this estimator does not cover situations in which the number of impulse … routinely in applied work. We establish the consistency of the impulse response matching estimator in this situation, we derive …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010437938