Showing 1 - 10 of 17
Out-of-sample forecasting tests of DSGE models against time-series benchmarks such as an unrestricted VAR are … improve forecasts from an unrestricted VAR. In testing forecasting capacity they also have quite weak power, particularly on … improve on VAR forecasts. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010504446
We review the methods used in many papers to evaluate DSGE models by comparing their simulated moments and other features with data equivalents. We note that they select, scale and characterise the shocks without reference to the data; crucially they fail to use the joint distribution of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010288773
We calibrate a standard New Keynesian model with three alternative representations of monetary policy- an optimal timeless rule, a Taylor rule and another with interest rate smoothing- with the aim of testing which if any can match the data according to the method of indirect inference. We find...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010288782
there is wage/price rigidity, but otherwise enjoys flexible wages and prices with a one quarter information lag. Using a VAR …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010288793
We review the methods used in many papers to evaluate DSGE models by comparing their simulated moments with data moments. We compare these with the method of Indirect Inference to which they are closely related. We illustrate the comparison with contrasting assessments of a two-country model in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010288836
We evaluate the Smets-Wouters model of the US dynamically using indirect inference with a VAR representation of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010288839
This paper investigates whether codependence restrictions can be uniquely imposed on VAR and VEC models via the so …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011489949
We derive a framework for asymptotically valid inference in stable vector autoregressive (VAR) models with conditional … heteroskedasticity of unknown form. We prove a joint central limit theorem for the VAR slope parameter and innovation covariance … parameter estimators and address bootstrap inference as well. Our results are important for correct inference on VAR statistics …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011490564
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013253091
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013186196