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Public debt dynamics : the effects of austerity, inflation, and growth shocks

Cherif, Reda; Hasanov, Fuad - 2012

We study how macroeconomic shocks affect U.S. public debt dynamics using a VAR with debt feedback. Following a fiscal austerity shock, the debt ratio initially declines and then returns to its pre-shock path. Yet, the effect is not statistically significant. In a weak economic environment, the...