Showing 1 - 10 of 23
The COVID-19 pandemic disrupts capital markets and confuses decision makers. This event represents an opportunity to better understand how financial analysts forecast earnings. We focus on forecasts for Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) in the United States, since REITs are relatively...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012628786
The purpose of this paper is to evaluate the forecasting performance of linear and non-linear generalized … autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH)–class models in terms of their in-sample and out-of-sample forecasting accuracy … for forecasting the volatility of both the TASI and the TIPISI in the context of petrochemical industries, as this model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011960525
forecasting errors in realized volatility are substantive. Even though returns standardized by ex post quadratic variation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011553303
quite successful in forecasting monthly changes in commodity prices, but that success diminished in the period following …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012798924
forecasting the volatility of international stock markets. Furthermore, the results suggest that the most vulnerable stock markets …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012813501
This paper proposes a new combined semiparametric estimator of the conditional variance that takes the product of a parametric estimator and a nonparametric estimator based on machine learning. A popular kernel-based machine learning algorithm, known as the kernel-regularized least squares...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012814196
systematic exploration and forecasting of sovereign default risks. Multivariate statistical and stochastic process …-based sovereign default risk forecasting has a 50-year developmental history. This article describes a continuous, non …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012792441
can be used in risk measurement and forecasting. Value at risk (VaR) is a widely used measure of financial risk, which … series analysis conducted and led to the forecasting of the returns. It was noted that these methods could not be used in … relation of assets with each other. Furthermore, we also examined the environment as a whole, then applied forecasting models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012795821
forecasting stock prices shows how difficult it is to predict stock prices, there is evidence that predicting stock price … to understand and estimate and are useful methods for forecasting the stock price direction of clean energy stocks. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012483492
the current monetary policy framework and the challenges in transitioning towards FFIT. Given that forecasting is central … to FFIT, we develop a practical model-based forecasting and policy analysis system (FPAS) to support transition to FFIT …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012486242