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We use a machine-learning approach known as Boosted Regression Trees (BRT) to reexamine the usefulness of selected leading indicators for predicting recessions. We estimate the BRT approach on German data and study the relative importance of the indicators and their marginal effects on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011381289
Based on a panel of annual data for 17 growth and inflation forecasts from 14 institutions for Germany, we analyse …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011852757