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Trade Specialisation and Economic Convergence : Evidence from Two Eastern European Countries

Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Rault, Christophe; Sova, Robert - 2009

-a-vis the core EU member states (EU-15) over the period 1990-2006. Specifically, we focus on whether there is a shift towards …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014206526

Migration in an Enlarged EU : A Challenging Solution?

Kahanec, Martin; Zimmermann, Klaus F. - 2009

analysis of the available literature and empirical evidence shows that (i) EU enlargement had a significant impact on migration … hard to detect, (iv) post-enlargement migration contributes to growth prospects of the EU, (v) these immigrants are …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014206569

EU Banks Rating Assignments : Is There Heterogeneity between New and Old Member Countries?

Caporale, Guglielmo Maria - 2010

We model EU countries' bank ratings using financial variables and allowing for intercept and slope heterogeneity. Our … aim is to assess whether "old" and "new" EU countries are rated differently and to determine whether "new" ones are … intercepts) are a crucial determinant of ratings. Whilst "new" EU countries typically have lower ratings than "old" ones, after …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013141115

Real Convergence, Capital Flows, and Competitiveness in Central and Eastern Europe

Belke, Ansgar Hubertus - 2009

The paper scrutinizes the role of wages and capital flows for competitiveness in the new EU member states in the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013155099

Financial Development and Economic Growth : Evidence from Ten New EU Members

Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Rault, Christophe; Sova, Robert - 2009

This paper reviews the main features of the banking and financial sector in ten new EU members, and then examines the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014201474

Money Demand and the Role of Monetary Indicators in Forecasting Euro Area Inflation

Dreger, Christian - 2010

This paper examines the forecasting performance of a broad monetary aggregate (M3) in predicting euro area inflation. Excess liquidity is measured as the difference between the actual money stock and its fundamental value, the latter determined by a money demand function. The out-of sample...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013137100

Driven by the Markets? ECB Sovereign Bond Purchases and the Securities Markets Programme

Belke, Ansgar Hubertus - 2010

After the dramatic rescue package for the euro area, the governing council of the European Central Bank decided to purchase European government bonds - to ensure an "orderly monetary policy transmission mechanism". Many observers argued that, by bond purchases, national fiscal policies could...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013139293

Liquidity Risk, Credit Risk and the Overnight Interest Rate Spread : A Stochastic Volatility Modelling Approach

Beirne, John - 2010

In this paper we model the volatility of the spread between the overnight interest rate and the central bank policy rate (the policy spread) for the euro area and the UK during the two main phases of the financial crisis that began in late 2007. During the crisis, the policy spread exhibited...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013141038

Fiscal Spillovers in the Euro Area

Caporale, Guglielmo Maria - 2011

This paper analyses the dynamic effects of fiscal imbalances in a given EMU member state on the borrowing costs of other countries in the euro area. The estimation of a multivariate, multi-country time series model (specifically a Global VAR, or GVAR) using quarterly data for the EMU period...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119070

Removing Cross-Border Capacity Bottlenecks in the European Natural Gas Market : A Proposed Merchant-Regulatory Mechanism

Neumann, Anne - 2011

We propose a merchant-regulatory framework to promote investment in the European natural gas network infrastructure based on a price cap over two-part tariffs. As suggested by Vogelsang (2001) and Hogan et al. (2010), a profit maximizing network operator facing this regulatory constraint will...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013122011

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