. Aggregating the model in closed form, we show that it delivers radically different predictions for the optimal inflation rate than … canonical sticky price models featuring homogenous firms: (1) the optimal steady-state inflation rate generically differs from … zero and (2) inflation optimally responds to productivity disturbances. Using micro data from the US Census Bureau to …

on individual forecasts for unemployment and inflation submitted by each individual FOMC member, which was recently made … policymakers were aware of these changes in real-time. -- inflation forecast ; NAIRU ; Phillips curve ; monetary policy ; Federal …

autoregressive model. In a high inflation regime the standard results from the literature obtain. In a low inflation regime output … shows no significant response to monetary policy while the inflation response is negative. The paper endogenously determines …

deciding about interest rate policy, members individually formulate regular inflation forecasts. This paper uncovers systematic … differences in individual inflation forecasts submitted by voting and non-voting members. Based on a data set with individual … forecasts recently made available it is shown that non-voters systematically overpredict inflation relative to the consensus …

dynamics of inflation implied by macroeconomic data, the model needs to assume an average duration of price contracts which is …