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We empirically evaluate a behavioural model with boundedly rational traders who disagree about the persistence of deviations from the fundamental stock price. Fundamentalist traders believe in mean-reversion, while chartists extrapolate trends. Agents gradually switch between the two rules,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011301214
Recent work on complex adaptive systems for modeling financialmarkets is surveyed. Financia1 markets areviewed as evolutionary systems between different, competing tradingstrategies. Agents are boundedly rational inthe sense that they tend to follow strategies that have performedwell, according...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011313923
A simple asset pricing model with two types of adaptively learning traders,fundamentalists and technical analysts, is studied. Fractions of these tradertypes, which are both boundedly rational, change over time according toevolutionary learning, with technical analysts conditioning their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011313936
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010191433
, the intensity of local competition and the standard of living. Perception data from the World Economic Forum is used to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003219726
Using a gravity-type explanation of international trade flows at the industry level, it is shown that the pattern of comparative advantage in terms of sectoral export/import ratios in bilateral trade can be explained by relative income and relative per capita income. Total income of a country is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011435012
Investment (FDI). The conventional proximity-concentration theory suggests that FDI substitutes for trade if distance between …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011378320
Pure time series-based tests fail to find empirical support formonetary exchange rate models. In this paper we apply pooled timeseries estimation on a forward-looking monetary model, resulting inparameter estimates which are in compliance with the underlyingtheory. Based on a panel version of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011299983
The perpetual inventory method used for the construction of education data per country leads to systematic measurement error. This paper analyses the effect of this measurement error on GDP regressions. There is a systematic difference in the education level between census data and observations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011335189
We analyze the distribution of economic activity across space for different types of activity and different levels of aggregation. Not only is this distribution highly uneven (independently of the type of activity and level of aggregation), it is also remarkably regular regarding its size...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011335206