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~accessRights:"free"
~isPartOf:"Discussion paper / Tinbergen Institute"
~isPartOf:"Discussion paper series / UCL Economics"
~isPartOf:"Discussion papers / Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung"
~isPartOf:"HWWA discussion paper"
~isPartOf:"NBER working paper series"
~isPartOf:"Technical working paper / National Bureau of Economic Research"
~isPartOf:"Working paper series / European Central Bank"
~language:"eng"
~person:"Blasques, Francisco"
~person:"Florax, Raymond J. G. M."
~person:"Franses, Philip Hans"
~person:"Gil-Alaña, Luis A."
~person:"Heckman, James J."
~person:"Koopman, Siem Jan"
~person:"Moraga-González, José Luis"
~person:"Ooms, Marius"
~person:"Rouwendal, Jan"
~person:"Scharth, Marcel"
~subject:"EU countries"
~subject:"Forecasting model"
~subject:"Kreditrisiko"
~subject:"Markov-Kette"
~subject:"Meta-Analyse"
~subject:"Schätzung"
~subject:"Theory"
~subject:"USA"
~subject:"Volatility"
~subject:"Volatilität"
~type:"book"
~type_genre:"Collection of articles written by one author"
~type_genre:"Handbuch"
~type_genre:"Non-commercial literature"
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81
Modeling trigonometric seasonal components for monthly economic time series
Hindrayanto, Irma
;
Aston, John A.D.
;
Koopman, Siem Jan
; …
-
2010
The basic structural time series model has been designed for the modelling and forecasting of seasonal economic time series. In this paper we explore a generalisation of the basic structural time series model in which the time-varying trigonometric terms associated with different seasonal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011379642
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82
A dynamic multivariate heavy-tailed model for time-varying volatilities and correlations
Creal, Drew
;
Koopman, Siem Jan
;
Lucas, André
-
2010
We propose a new class of observation-driven time-varying parameter models for dynamic volatilities and correlations to handle time series from heavy-tailed distributions. The model adopts generalized autoregressive score dynamics to obtain a time-varying covariance matrix of the multivariate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011380135
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83
Do firms sell forward for strategic reasons? : an application to the wholesale market for natural gas
Eijkel, Remco van
;
Moraga-González, José Luis
-
2010
Building on a model of the interaction of risk-averse frms that compete in forward and spot markets, we develop an empirical strategy to test whether oligopolistic frms use forward contracts for strategic motives, for risk-hedging, or for both. An increase in the number of players weakens the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011380799
Saved in:
84
Give or take? : rewards vs. charges for a congested bottleneck
Rouwendal, Jan
;
Verhoef, Erik T.
;
Knockaert, Jasper
-
2010
-
This version: September 2, 2010
This paper analyzes the possibilities to relieve congestion using rewards instead of taxes, as well as combinations of rewards and taxes. The model considers a Vickrey-ADL model of bottleneck congestion with endogenous scheduling. With inelastic demand, a fine (time-varying) reward is equivalent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011380921
Saved in:
85
Does disagreement amongst forecasters have predictive value?
Legerstee, Rianne
;
Franses, Philip Hans
-
2010
Forecasts from various experts are often used in macroeconomic forecasting models. Usually the focus is on the mean or median of the survey data. In the present study we adopt a different perspective on the survey data as we examine the predictive power of disagreement amongst forecasters. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011381819
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86
Bottleneck congestion : differentiating the coarse charge
Knockaert, Jasper
;
Rouwendal, Jan
;
Verhoef, Erik T.
-
2010
practical limit to the degree of differentiation real
world
mplementations can handle. The traditional approach to accommodate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011381994
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87
Systemic risk diagnostics
Schwaab, Bernd
;
Lucas, André
;
Koopman, Siem Jan
-
2010
, and the rest of the
world
. Controlling for global,region-specific, and industry effects, we construct coincident measures …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011382067
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88
The willingness to pay for quality aspects of durables :
theory
and application to the car market
Mulalic, Ismir
;
Rouwendal, Jan
-
2010
-
This version: December 24, 2010
Conventional hedonic analysis measures willingness to pay for attributes on the basis of marginal fixed costs. We argue that in many cases variable costs are also affected by these attributes and that this should be taken into account. We develop a simple model to show that the marginal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011382696
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89
Observation driven mixed-measurement dynamic factor models with an application to credit risk
Creal, Drew
;
Schwaab, Bernd
;
Koopman, Siem Jan
;
Lucas, …
-
2011
This paper has been accepted for publication in the 'Review of Economics and Statistics'.We propose a dynamic factor model for mixed-measurement and mixed-frequency panel data. In this framework time series observations may come from a range of families of parametric distributions, may be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011383248
Saved in:
90
Numerically accelerated importance sampling for nonlinear non-Gaussian state space models
Koopman, Siem Jan
;
Lucas, André
;
Scharth, Marcel
-
2012
We introduce a new efficient importance sampler for nonlinear non-Gaussian state space models. We propose a general and efficient likelihood evaluation method for this class of models via the combination of numerical and Monte Carlo integration methods. Our methodology explores the idea that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011386179
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