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Structural change out of agriculture : labor push versus labor pull
Alvarez-Cuadrado, Francisco; Poschke, Markus - 2009
The process of economic development is characterized by substantial rural-urban migrations and a decreasing share of agriculture in output and employment. The literature highlights two main engines behind this process of structural change: (i) improvements in agricultural technology combined...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003858873
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Remittance flows and U.S. monetary policy
Machasio, Immaculate; Tillmann, Peter - 2021 - This version: October 27, 2021
Remittance inflows are driven by macroeconomic conditions in the home and the host economies, respectively. In this paper, we study the effect of U.S. monetary policy on remittance flows into economies in Latin American and the Caribbean. The role of Fed policy for remittances has not yet been...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012694427
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Life expectancy, schooling, and lifetime labor supply : theory and evidence revisited
Cervellati, Matteo; Sunde, Uwe - 2013
This paper presents a theoretical and empirical analysis of the role of life expectancy for optimal schooling and lifetime labor supply. The results of a simple prototype Ben-Porath model with age-specific survival rates show that an increase in lifetime labor supply is not a necessary, nor a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009721323
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Understanding the technology of computer technology diffusion : explaining computer adoption patterns and implications for the wage structure
Borghans, Lex (contributor); Weel, Bas ter (contributor) - 2008
We review the empirical literature about the implications of the computerization of the labor market to see whether it can explain observed computer adoption patterns and (long-term) changes in the wage structure. Evidence from empirical micro studies turns out to be inconsistent with macro...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003771543
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Causal effects of monetary shocks : semiparametric conditional independence tests with a multinomial propensity score
Angrist, Joshua D. (contributor);  … - 2008
Macroeconomists have long been concerned with the causal effects of monetary policy. When the identification of causal effects is based on a selection-on-observables assumption, non-causality amounts to the conditional independence of outcomes and policy changes. This paper develops a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003739948
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Sequential bargaining in a new-Keynesian model with frictional unemployment and staggered wage negotiation
De Walque, Gregory; Pierrard, Olivier; Sneessens, Henri; … - 2009
period. The workers' bargaining power in the hours negotiation affects both unemployment volatility and inflation persistence … cost determination. This set-up produces realistic labor market statistics together with inflation persistence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003824877
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The Fed's perceived Phillips curve : vidence from individual FOMC forecasts
Tillmann, Peter - 2009
on individual forecasts for unemployment and inflation submitted by each individual FOMC member, which was recently made … policymakers were aware of these changes in real-time. -- inflation forecast ; NAIRU ; Phillips curve ; monetary policy ; Federal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003908176
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Regime-dependent effects of monetary policy shocks : evidence from threshold vector autoregressions
Mandler, Martin - 2010
autoregressive model. In a high inflation regime the standard results from the literature obtain. In a low inflation regime output … shows no significant response to monetary policy while the inflation response is negative. The paper endogenously determines …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003950519
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Strategic forecasting on the FOMC
Tillmann, Peter - 2010
deciding about interest rate policy, members individually formulate regular inflation forecasts. This paper uncovers systematic … differences in individual inflation forecasts submitted by voting and non-voting members. Based on a data set with individual … forecasts recently made available it is shown that non-voters systematically overpredict inflation relative to the consensus …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003962970
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Population adjustment to asymmetric labour market shocks in India : a comparison to Europe and the United States at two different regional levels
Braschke, Franziska; Puhani, Patrick A. - 2022
This paper uses Indian EUS-NSSO data on 32 states/union territories and 570 districts for a bi-annual panel with 5 waves to estimate how regional population reacts to asymmetric shocks. These shocks are measured by non-employment rates, unemployment rates, and wages in fixed-effects regressions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013262648