Showing 1 - 10 of 13
Risk analysis and management currently have a strong presence in financial institutions, where high performance and energy efficiency are key requirements for acceleration systems, especially when it comes to intraday analysis. In this regard, we approach the estimation of the widely-employed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011556579
We explore the Monte Carlo steps required to reduce the sampling error of the estimated 99.9% quantile within an acceptable threshold. Our research is of primary interest to practitioners working in the area of operational risk measurement, where the annual loss distribution cannot be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012019128
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012035248
This article reviews two leading measures of financial risk and an emerging alternative. Embraced by the Basel accords, value-at-risk and expected shortfall are the leading measures of financial risk. Expectiles offset the weaknesses of value-at-risk (VaR) and expected shortfall. Indeed,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011867427
A functional ARMA-GARCH model for predicting the value-at-risk of the EURUSD exchange rate is introduced. The model implements the yield curve differentials between EUR and the US as exogenous factors. Functional principal component analysis allows us to use the information of basically the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011890808
The widely used Poisson count process in insurance claims modeling is no longer valid if the claims occurrences exhibit dispersion. In this paper, we consider the aggregate discounted claims of an insurance risk portfolio under Weibull counting process to allow for dispersed datasets. A copula...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012598393
We analyse four stochastic claims reserving methods in terms of their capability to estimate reserve risk and how successful they are at predicting distributions and VaRs of claim developments in particular. Both actual data and hypothetical claim triangles support our results. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014225942
When the uni-variate risk measure analysis is generalized into the multi-variate setting, many complex theoretical and applied problems arise, and therefore the mathematical models used for risk quantification usually present model risk. As a result, regulators have started to require that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013368725
Optimal reinsurance problems under the risk measures, such as Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Tail-Value-at-Risk (TVaR), have been studied in recent literature. However, losses based on VaR may be underestimated and TVaR allows us to account better for catastrophic losses. In this paper, we propose a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014340271
Under the revised market risk framework of the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision, the model validation regime for internal models now requires that models capture the tail risk in profit-and-loss (P&L) distributions at the trading desk level. We develop multi-desk backtests, which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014480976