We propose a model for analyzing euro area trade based on the interaction between macroeconomic and trade variables. First, we show that macroeconomic variables are necessary to generate accurate short-term trade forecasts; this result can be explained by the high correlation between trade and...

We investigate the role of networks of military alliances in preventing or encouraging wars between groups of countries. A country is vulnerable to attack if there is some fully-allied group of countries that can defeat that country and its (remaining) allies based on a function of their...

This paper makes an attempt to understand the implications of trade normalisation between India and Pakistan on the automobile sector. Currently, am majority of auto components are in Pakistan's negative list. Based on both quantitative and qualitative analysis, the paper concludes that India...