Showing 1 - 8 of 8
realistic assumption of boundedly rational learning where agents are assumed to use only a limited set of information to form … path to the shocks to the economy when agent form expectations using our learning approach compared to expectations formed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128293
We study how the use of judgement or “add-factors” in macroeconomic forecasting may disturb the set of equilibrium outcomes when agents learn using recursive methods. We isolate conditions under which new phenomena, which we call exuberance equilibria, can exist in standard macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604601
This paper presents experimental evidence from a monetary sticky price economy in which output and inflation depend on expected future inflation. With rational inflation expectations, the economy does not generate persistent deviations of output and inflation in response to a monetary shock. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604538
expectations by Bayesian learning based on observations from their own lifetimes. In this model, the stock price exhibits … approximated by a representative-agent model with constant-gain learning, where the gain parameter is related to the survival rate. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605442
expectations by Bayesian learning based on observations from their own lifetimes. In this model, the stock price exhibits … approximated by a representative-agent model with constant-gain learning, where the gain parameter is related to the survival rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119137
We provide a new theory of expectations-driven business cycles in which consumers' learning from prices dramatically … alters the effects of aggregate shocks. Learning from prices causes changes in aggregate productivity to shift aggregate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012956266
certain features of monetary policy rules that facilitate learning. However a treatment of policy design for learnability in … worlds where agents have potentially misspecified their learning models has yet to surface. This paper provides such a … understanding of the workings of the economy and that their learning the reduced forms of the economy is subject to potentially …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604639
: rational expectations and learning. We show that in this environment the ability to stabilize the real side of the economy is … private learning and misperceptions of natural rates call for greater policy inertia, a more aggressive response to inflation … economy. We show that such policies are quite robust to potential misspecification of private sector learning and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604810