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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005352266
Several studies have shown that the Belgian harmonised index of consumer prices for electricity (HICP-EL) has become … concluded that differences in the price-setting behaviour in the deregulated electricity markets are a more plausible … variable-price contracts with their electricity supplier. The variable price in such contracts is aligned to suppliers’ costs …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009367064
__Abstract__ The paper investigates the impact of jumps in forecasting co-volatility, accommodating leverage effects … for forecasting weekly and monthly horizons. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011274348
A time series methodology is used to understand the Ohio economy by assessing various indicators of economic activity in Ohio. These can be identified and quantified through simple methods applicable to other regional economies, as well.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005360761
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005360767
A study using out-of-sample regressions to determine how well the 10-year, 3-month yield spread predicts future real GDP growth. The author finds that although the yield curve is a good predictor over the entire 30-year sample period, it has become much less accurate over the last decade.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005360773
The yield curve shows how the yield on a government bond depends on the bond's maturity. Monetary policymakers and observers pay special attention to the shape of the yield curve as an indicator of the economic impact of current and future monetary policy. Without the proper analytical tools,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005361068
expected in real-time situations. This fact is particularly relevant if a forecasting model's performance is to be compared …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005361088
If economic forecasts are to be used for decision making, then being able to evaluate their accuracy is essential. Assessing accuracy using single variables from a forecast is acceptable as a first pass, but this approach has inherent problems. This article addresses some of these problems by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005361111
It is fairly obvious that in market-based economies prices act as a constraint on individual behavior, providing a means by which goods and services flow to those most willing and able to pay for them. But prices play an additional role in the economy-that of signaling the present and expected...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005361112